The Browns and Ravens face off in a game that’s looking like it’ll have some tough weather conditions and very clear mismatches. With gusty winds and freezing temps at M&T Bank Stadium, this AFC North battle should be gritty and slow-paced. They’ll both be leaning on running games and conservative offensive strategies.
Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Broadcast: ESPN and ABC
That’s not to say there aren’t some awesome player prop picks for your bet slip. We’ve found the 5 best player props for this game and we think you’re going to love what we’ve found.
Player Prop Odds: -120
Derrick Henry thrives in cold, tough conditions. So, this game sets up perfectly for him.
The Browns’ offensive struggles will give Baltimore plenty of short fields and scoring opportunities and this is where Henry will make his money for this game. That translates to more clock-killing runs for Henry, who is averaging an insane 111.4 rushing yards per game this season. He’s not going to back down for this game with playoff positioning on the line.
The weather conditions — cold and windy — mean Baltimore will likely run the ball often to control the game and try to get back to the warm locker room as quickly as possible.
Henry is coming off a 125-yard game and has blown through this line in 3 of his last 5 games, but that was even against stronger run defenses.
We expect the Ravens to feed their workhorse to salt away the lead. It might be cold in Baltimore today, but Henry will be smoking hot.
Player Prop Odds: +130
Lamar Jackson has been nothing short of stellar this season. In fact, many are calling for him to be an MVP candidate. However, the Browns’ defense can still force mistakes — especially in the freezing cold.
Despite Cleveland’s overall struggles, their pass defense ranks 13th in passing yards allowed. That’s not too bad considering their record is dismal.
The gusty winds and freezing temperatures will also undoubtedly increase the likelihood of a misfired throw or tipped pass turning into a pick. We don’t think it’ll tilt the game overall, but we’re shooting for good player props here.
At plus money, this is a value bet with the game script supporting it. The Browns’ defense will of course be aggressive, knowing they need turnovers to stay competitive.
Player Prop Odds: -115
Jerry Jeudy leads the Browns in receiving yards this season and he’s an absolute workhorse. However, this is not the game for him to shine.
The Ravens rank 3rd in points allowed per game and their secondary is one of the biggest reasons why. Combined with Cleveland’s backup quarterback situation (we don’t think Winston will be back from his shoulder injury), Jeudy will struggle to get quality targets in this matchup. He might get a few, but the YAC won’t be there with the slippery field conditions.
Jeudy has gone under this number several times this year despite being the WR1. To top that off, the Ravens’ defense, ranked 6th in passing yards allowed per game, will undoubtedly limit his opportunities further.
Add in the crummy weather and Cleveland’s likely run-heavy game plan, and this is a safe play despite being a low target.
Player Prop Odds: -120
Zay Flowers has been a monstrous big-play machine for Baltimore, and even in less-than-ideal conditions like he’ll face today, he’s a threat to break a long gain.
Flowers averages a hefty 14.3 yards per reception and has had a catch of at least 25 yards in 4 of his last 5 games. Jackson simply loves him as a long-range target.
The Browns rank 13th against the pass, but their cornerbacks have been prone to giving up chunk plays. With Derrick Henry pounding the rock in these cold conditions, the play-action game will open up a chance for Lamar Jackson to hit Flowers downfield for a few big gains. The odds are juiced a bit, but that’s okay for a solid bet like this one.
Player Prop Odds: +145
Mark Andrews is Lamar Jackson’s favorite red-zone target and he’s always a threat to score. It’s a combination you don’t see too often outside of KC and San Francisco.
In this game, he faces a Browns defense that has allowed 10 passing TDs to TEs this season. Andrews leads all Ravens pass-catchers in touchdowns and has been targeted frequently inside the 20-yard line. In fact, he’s had a touchdown in 6 of his last 7 games! He’s not going to slow down against the Browns.
With gusty winds and freezing temps at game time, short and intermediate throws to the tight end will be a key strategy for Baltimore.
At plus money for this player prop bet, we think this is an excellent value.
This matchup screams ground-and-pound football all day long. With weather and game script setting up well for rushing props and conservative offensive play, we think these NFL prop bets are solid and ripe for your bet slip.
Henry should feast like it’s Thanksgiving, Jackson’s mistake potential is decent at plus money, and the Ravens’ stars like Flowers and Andrews offer strong value in their own roles.
Play these props confidently and watch as the Browns and Ravens grind it out in an old-school AFC North slugfest as the cold rolls through.