NFL Week 2 officially kicked off with the Bills defeating the Dolphins in Miami on Thursday night. In this article, we will be looking at the Sunday slate of games and sharing our 5 favorite player props.
Fun fact, did you know season-long player prop unders cash 63% of the time? While we don't have the data for in-season player props, experience tells us the under is typically the more profitable side.
With that said, the Undertaker is here with our 5 best player prop bets for the NFL Week 2 slate. And, yes, 4 out of the 5 picks are unders.
We couldn't bet the under on Hubbard rushing prop fast enough this week. He managed just 14 yards in week 1 and will face a Chargers defense that held the Raiders to just 3.2 YPC (2nd best in NFL). New Chargers DC Jesse Minter will take away the run and force Bryce Young to win the game.
We could also see game script issues for Hubbard here. Expect Dave Canales to feel pressured to keep the home opener competitive, which could force him to throw early and often if the Panthers are trailing.
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This week 2 matchup with the Bengals is one Pacheco has loved in recent years. He's averaged 111 total yards in his last 3 meetings with Cinci, including a 165-yard performance last season.
Combine Pacheco's track record with what we saw in week 1 from the Bengals; we love this pick. The Bengals had no answer for Rhamondre Stevenson, allowing him to rack up 120 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries.
It's worth bringing the receiving yards for this prop as Pacheco has 14 receptions for 110 yards and a touchdown in his last 3 games against the Bengals.
After putting up just 171 passing yards in a week 1 matchup with a poor Titans secondary, we were shocked to see Vegas price Smith's passing yards prop at 223.5 yards this week. The Patriots held Joe Burrow to just 164 yards on 29 attempts last week, pressuring him throughout the game and registering 3 sacks.
Last season, Smith finished under 224 passing yards in 6 of the 10 Seattle games that finished with a total of 45 points or less. There is no indication we should expect scoring in this matchup, and are happy to bet the under here.
We wanted to find a way to short the Packers' passing attack and Wicks stands out as the player to target. 15.5 is a scary low number, yes he can go over with one catch, but hear us out:
He finished week 1 with 0 receiving yards in a game where Love played and the Packers scored 29 points.
He was last in snap count among Packers receivers. He'll be the guy on the sidelines if the Packers run a lot of 12 personnel.
His ADOT was 13 yards, the highest among all Packers receivers. Do we think LaFleur will let Willis throw the ball downfield?
The Chiefs held the Ravens wide receivers to just 96 yards last week.
Nix finished week 1 with 138 passing yards, so Vegas set his week 2 line 33% higher in a matchup with the Steelers? This feels like a sucker bet, maybe Nix will be better at home, but we couldn't resist taking the bait here.
Nix's week 1 YPA was just 3.3, second-worst in the NFL last week, while the Steelers held Kirk Cousins to just 6 YPA. The Steelers also play at one of the slowest paces in the league. They were 29th in pace in week 1 and finished last season 26th.
We would be shocked if Nix found a way over 200 yards this week and will gladly the under here.