The Texans are looking to continue their surprising season at home against the Browns.
The Texans are looking to continue their surprising season at home against the Browns.@HoustonTexans on X

Mims' Saturday NFL Playoffs Picks: Browns vs Texans, Dolphins vs Chiefs; Pacheco, Stroud prop bets, more

Will Cleveland's defense travel to Texas? How will Miami handle frigid Kansas City? Mims picks the spreads and over/unders?

The NFL Wild Card Weekend starts with these two games.

The Kansas City Chiefs play the Miami Dolphins tonight on Peacock. This is the first time a playoff game has been nationally broadcast exclusively on a streaming channel.

The Chiefs are favored by 4.5 and the total is 43.5. The money line is Chiefs -240 and Dolphins +196. These teams played earlier in the season and the Chiefs won 21-14.  Both teams have not played well against playoff opponents and have  a record 0f 1-9 in those contests. The weather is expected to be -3 with wind gusts up to 18 miles per hour.

Expect Isiah Pacheco to go over his projected rushing attempts of 15.5. The price is -121.

Chiefs win in a low scoring game. Dolphins are appealing with the 4.5 and take the game under.

The Cleveland Browns play the Houston Texans in the opening game at 4:30 pm ET. The Browns are favored by 2 and the total is 44.5. The money line is the Browns -140 and the Texans +118. The Browns defeated the Texans 36-22 earlier this season. Texans QB CJ Stroud did not play in that game. Browns QB Joe Flacco is trying to break a tie with Tom Brady for most road  playoffs wins. Browns do not play defense as well on the road as they do at home. Browns defense gives up over 25 points on the road and under 15 at home. Most good defenses travel. Cleveland not so much!

Expect CJ Stroud to go over his projected passing attempts of 33.5. The price is -151.

Home teams went 4-2 in the opening round last  year. Texans get revenge for the first game and win to advance. The game goes goes over!

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