Mims' Monday Night Football Picks: Broncos vs Bills, point spread, over/under, Stefon Diggs prop bet

The Denver Broncos  plays the Buffalo Bills tonight on Monday Night Football. The Bills are favored by 7 and the total is 47.5. The money line is Bills –305 and Broncos +240. Buffalo is the home team.

Records: Bills are 5-4 and Denver is 3-5. Buffalo is 3-6 against the spread. The Broncos  are 2-5-1 ATS.

Coach: Bills Head Coach Sean McDermott and Broncos Coach Sean Payton. Payton does have a Super Bowl Championship to his credit. McDermott has several successful regular seasons but has not advanced to a Super Bowl appearance. Advantage to Payton.

Quarterback: Bills QB  Josh Allen and Broncos QB Russell Wilson. Allen  is prone to force the ball down field and throw interceptions. Allen has thrown 18 TDs and 9 picks. Wilson has bounced back from a dismal 2022 season and has 18 TDs with 4 interceptions. Wilson has a higher rating than Allen. Wilson ‘s rating is 101.7 compared to Allen’s 99.6. While Allen is the more dynamic of the two, Wilson has the edge going into this game.

The consensus: Bills  have  65% of the action and the total is 57% going with the under.

Player Prop: WR Stefon Diggs over his projected receptions of 6.5 .The price is set at -145. Diggs  has at least 6 receptions in every game this season. He has surpassed 6 in 5 games.  Take Diggs over.

The Selection: The Bills are not playing well and have lost 3 of their last five games, Each of those games was decided by one score. Broncos have won two straight and are coming in off a bye week. Payton had an outstanding record in his tenure with the Saints after a bye. He brings that tendency to Denver. Take the Broncos and the points along with the under,

On Thursday Night Football, I will preview the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens. Both teams are coming in after suffering last second defeats at home.

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