Mims' Monday Night Football Picks: Seahawks vs Giants, spread, over/under and DK Metcalf prop bet

The Seattle Seahawks play the New York Giants tonight on Monday Night Football. The Seahawks are favored by 2 and the total is 47. The money line is Seahawks –125 and Giants +105. New York is the home team.

Records: Seattle is 2-1 and New York is 1-2. Seattle is 2-1 against the spread The last two games have went over the projected total. Giants are 0-3 ATS.

Quarterback: Seahawks QB Geno Smith over Giants QB Daniel Jones. Jones is erratic and plays better when he has RB Saquon Barkley to complement him. Barkley is doubtful with an ankle injury. Smith has turned his career around after taking the reins from Russell Wilson. He led the Seahawks to the playoffs last season in what was considered a rebuilding year.

Stats: The Seahawks are 4th in the NFL in points after 3 games with 87. They are ranked 29th defensively by allowing 89 points The Giants are 39th in the NFL in yards averaging 253 and 31st in points with 14.3.

The consensus: Seattle has 62% of the action and the total is 51% going with the over.

Player Prop: Seahawks WR DK Metcalf over 60.5 yards. The price is -154. He has exceeded the projected total in two of the first three games. Tonight makes 3. Take Metcalf over.

The Selection: The Seahawks are explosive and have more weapons than the Giants. While Seattle is weak defensively, the Giants will not be able to take advantage of them.

Seahawks cover and the game goes under.

On Thursday Night Football, I will preview the Chicago Bears and the Washington Commanders. My record on TNF is 5-5 with 3 wins on the game selection and two with the player prop.

Follow me on Twitter and Instagram during football season.