Mims' AFC Championship Picks: Bengals vs Chiefs, Travis Kelce, Joe Burrow prop bets, spread, over/under

The NFL AFC Championship Game has the Kansas City Chiefs against the Cincinnati Bengals. The line movement for this game has gone in both directions. The Chiefs are currently a one-point favorite. The total is 47.5. The Chiefs are -120 on the money line. The Bengals are +100. The Chiefs are the home team.

The consensus is information from The Daily Wager on ESPN. The Bengals have 74% of the tickets so far and have 58% of the money. The uncertainty of QB Patrick Mahomes has prompted strong movement to Cincinnati. QB Joe Burrow has a 3-0 record against the Chiefs.

Head Coach Match Up: Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid slightly over Bengals Head Coach Zac Taylor.

Player Prop: Travis Kelce over 7.5 receptions. The price is -110. Kelce will get at least 10 targets from Mahomes. Take him over.  Joe Burrow over 25.5 passing completions. The price is -115. Burrow threw 36 times against the Buffalo Bills in the Divisional Game. He goes over.

The Selection: If Mahomes were healthy the Chief would be the play. But the injury will limit his mobility. The Bengals are 6-3 on the road in the regular season. Bengals have won 10 games in a row. They win this Sunday and return to the Super Bowl. The game goes under.