Mims' Thursday Night Football Picks: Bills vs Patriots, Josh Allen, Mac Jones props, over/under, point spread

The Bills need a win and that should be enough to propel them over the Patriots.
Stefon Diggs of the Bills.
Stefon Diggs of the Bills.@BuffaloBillsPR on Twitter

The Thursday Night Game has the Buffalo Bills against the New England Patriots  The Bills are favored by 3.5 and the total is 43.5. The money line is the Bills -190 and the Patriots +158. The Patriots are the home team.

Head Coaching Match Up: Patriots Head Coach Bill Belichick over Sean McDermott.

The last five: Bills are 3-2 over their last five and 4-2 on the road. Patriots are 3-2 over their last 5 and 3-2 at home.

Prop Bets: Bills Quarterback Josh Allen over 1.5 Touchdowns The price is -165. Allen has thrown for 2 or more touchdowns in 4 of his last seven games. Take Allen over and lay the price.  Mac Jones under 1.5 touchdown passes. The price is . Jones has only gone over the projected total once in the last 8 games. Take him under.

Consensus: 61% of the money is on the Patriots. The total is split 52-48.

The Selection: The Bills are trying to keep path with the Dolphins for the division lead. Patriots are 2 games in back of them. The Bills will pressure Jones and force turnovers. Take the Bills minus the points in this game. The total goes over.

Follow me on Twitter during the second quarter of the game. I will be back on Monday with my preview of the game between the  New Orleans Saints and  the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

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