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Mims' Thursday Night Football Picks: Falcons vs Panthers, Marcus Mariota, Eddy Pineiro props, over/under

Tampa Bay is giving 2 points at home, coming off a pitiful game against the Panthers.

The Thursday Night Football Game has the Atlanta Falcons against the Carolina Panthers. The Falcons are second in the NFC South at 4-5 and the Panthers are 4th in the division at 2-7. The Falcons are favored by 2.5 and the total is 42.5. The money line is -145 for the Falcons and +122 for the Panthers. The Panthers are the home team.

Head Coach Match Up: Falcons Head Coach Arthur Smith has the edge over Panthers Head Coach Steve Wilks.

Player Props: Falcons Quarterback Marcus Mariota  over 30.5 rushing yardage. This bet is priced at -119. Mariota  has been over his projected number 4 of his last 5 games. Take him over. Panthers Kicker Eddy Pineiro over 1.5 fields goals made. The price is -110.Piniero made two field goals against the Falcons two weeks ago in a 37-34 lost in overtime. Take him over.

The Consensus: 73% of the money is being wagered on Atlanta. 58% of the action is on over.

The Selection: The Falcons have covered 66% of their games this season. The Panthers are only 33% against the spread. The two teams combined for 71 points two weeks ago. This game should follow the same trend. Take the Falcons and the over.

Follow me on Twitter during the second quarter of the game. Get my preview of the Monday Night Game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Washington Commanders. My record on Monday Night is 15-17 with 6 prop bets, 5 team (ATS) and 4 over/under wins.

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