Alloy's NFL Week 9 Forecast: The Legatron Strategy – because kickers matter
This article is highlighting a profitable backtested strategy from Alloy Sports. Plug this strategy in and see what games to bet on. Or create your own. Click here to sign up for free!
Kickers in the NFL are huge X-factors. In the final moments of games, they often determine wins and losses. Take Carolina last week. A 60-yard hail Mary from PJ Walker to DJ Moore tied the game in Atlanta as time expired. The extra-point would have given the Panthers a victory. After an unsportsmanlike penalty was called on Moore, Panther kicker Eddy Pineiro missed the would-be game winning kick. In overtime, Pineiro missed a 33-yard field goal that also would have won the game.
The fact is, kickers play a huge role in betting strategies. Whether covering the moneyline or spread, kickers often decide the outcomes of close games. It makes all the world of difference when your team trots out an Eddy Pineiro or a Justin Tucker, arguably the greatest kicker in NFL history, for a kick to win the game.
The week 9 Alloy Forecast is unveiling a strategy built on kicking success. Why? Because kickers matter!
The theory that betting on teams with reliable and accurate kickers wins more bets proved true. This is the Legatron Strategy!
What’s in the strategy?
The Legatron strategy was built on Alloy Pro. The stats factors are kickers with a higher number of total field goals made, 50+ yard field goal percentage and extra point percentage.
The filter in use looks specifically at outdoor stadiums.
What does the data show?
Since 2020, the data shows a 15% ROI for close underdogs that fit the Legatron Strategy. The overall record is 61-40-2.
Switching up filters for great results!
Modifying filters for the Legatron Strategy brought in positive results across different spread and moneyline ranges. The stat combination worked well as a baseline for success. Play around with different filters to find the best value.
Here are your Week 9 games to bet with the Legatron Strategy:
Bears (+5) vs. Dolphins
Commanders (+3.5) vs Vikings