Mims' Thursday NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints, prop bets for Dak Prescott and punts

The Thursday Night Football Game has the Dallas Cowboys playing the New Orleans Saints. Cowboys record is 7-4 while New Orleans is 5-6. Dallas is favored by 4.5 and the total is 47.5. The money line is -210 on Dallas and +175 on the Saints.

Trends: Dallas has lost three of their last 4. The Saints have lost four straight. In head-to-head meetings, four of the last five games in New Orleans have gone under. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in NOLA.

66% of the action is on Dallas and 54% is on the over.

Prop Bets: Dak Prescott under 284.5 yards. The price is -115. Going under. Total Match Punts is listed at over 7.5 at a price of +100. Defenses will get stops on both sides so the over has value with the price.

Coaching Matchup: Sean Payton over the staff of Mike McCarthy. McCarthy not coaching due to Covid restrictions.

My Take on the game: Dallas has not been on track since Prescott’s return from his injury. The coaching staff is limited because of Covid. This has an upset look. Saints play well at home and at night. Take Saints and the under.

Get my preview of the Monday Night Football Game between the Buffalo Bills and the New England Patriots right here at Bettors Insider. My record on MNF is 10-13 on sides & 14-20 on prop bets.