The Cardinals' Markus Golden remembers the ball, forgets his helmet.
The Cardinals' Markus Golden remembers the ball, forgets his helmet.@AZCardinals on Twitter

Thursday NFL Picks: Mims predicts Green Bay Packers at Arizona Cardinals, Aaron Rodgers, Kyler Murray props

The Cardinals are home and undefeated. The Packers are missing top receivers.

The NFL Thursday Night Football game has the Arizona Cardinals playing the Green Bay Packers. The numbers are Cardinals -6.5 with a total of 50.5. The money line is Cardinals -290 & Packers +235. Cardinals are the home team.

Injury Report: Davante Adams and Allen Lazard are out for Packers. J.J. Watt is out for Cardinals. He appears to be done for the season if he has surgery on his shoulder. DeAndre Hopkins has a hamstring issue and is listed as questionable.

57% of the action is on the Packers. 65% of the public like the game over.

Trends: Packers are 6-0 in the last 6 games ATS. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 head-to-head games.

Prop Action: Aaron Rodgers over 263.5 in passing yardage. The price is -110. He goes under. Kyler Murray over 27.5 rushing yards. I would lay the 120 and go over.

Coaching Match Up: Kliff Kingsbury and Matt LaFleur are even. Slight edge to LaFleur.

My take on the game: The line movement tells you all you need to know about this game. The number moved from 3.5 up to 6.5. Packers are decimated without their top receivers. Both teams have one loss between them. When you compare the strength of schedules, the Cardinals have handled tough teams all season. Packers have taken care of teams that are not in the post-season conversation. Green Bay traveling on a short work week gives an additional edge to Arizona. Take the Cardinals with the points and under.

Get my preview of the Monday Night Game between Kansas City Chiefs and the New York Giants right here at Bettors Insider. My MNF selections are 5-7 on sides and 8-10 on prop bets.

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