NFL Sunday Playoffs: Mims picks prop and game bets for Browns vs Chiefs and Buccaneers vs Saints
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs kicks off at 3:05 pm ET on CBS, Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints at 6:40 pm ET on FOX
Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Chiefs are favored by 10.5 and the total is 57. Money line is Chiefs -500 and Browns +400.
The Chiefs are 14 -2 and earned the bye in the AFC. Patrick Mahomes is one of the top candidates for league MVP. The Browns were 10-6 and upset the Steelers in the opening round last week by a score of 48 - 37. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are arguably the best running duo in football.
Kareem Hunt returns to Kansas City two years after being released due to an off the field situation. While Hunt acknowledged he was wrong and the release was warranted, he would love to beat his old team. His rushing yardage is set at 30.5 and his total receiving yard is 17.5. The price is -115 and -125 for each of the respective wagers. I will go with the over on each of them.
Mahomes passing yards is projected at 323. If Big Ben Roethlisberger put 37 points and over 500 yards on the Browns, expect no less from Mahomes. The price of the over is -115. Over is the play.
Andy Reid has an outstanding record after a bye week. He is 18-3 in the regular season and 5-2 in the post season. Reid is 7-0 against Cleveland in his career. The Chiefs have not been good this year against the spread. Their ATS record is 7-9. Chiefs win but it is a slug fest. I try to double hit this game with the Chiefs in a money line parlay and the Browns +10.5 straight up. The game going over is my strongest choice.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints
The Saints meet the Buccaneers for the 3rd time this season. The Saints have won both previous meetings by the scores of 34-23 and 38-3. The Saints are favored by 3.0 and the total is 52.0. The money line is Saints -160 and Tampa +140.
Alvin Kamara total rushing yards are projected at 60.5 The price is -115. He will go over.
Total points by the home team are projected by at 27.5. Price is -115. The Saints went over 30 in both previous games. This is a hat trick! A solid over.
Two match ups to considered are Kamara -200 against Leonard Fournette +157 for most rushing yards. Player to have most receiving yards has Antonio Brown -157 against Emmanuel Sanders +125.
The Bucs have been playing well but did not dominate Washington Football. Tom Brady is the GOAT and tough to go against in the money games. The Saints defense is top 5 in the league and have picked Brady off 5 times in the previous games. I think Brady throws at least 1 interception today. The Saints have also won 5 straight against Tampa Bay. The Saints have their number one more time. Saints and over.
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