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Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb, top, is tackled by Buffalo Bills cornerback Taron Johnson during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Nov. 10, 2019, in Cleveland.
Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb, top, is tackled by Buffalo Bills cornerback Taron Johnson during the second half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Nov. 10, 2019, in Cleveland.|Ron Schwane | Associated Press
NFL

Thursday Night Football: Mims picks Steelers vs Browns and likes a James Conner vs Nick Chubb prop bet

Robert Mims

Robert Mims

These are my key factors in the game tonight between Pittsburgh and Cleveland:

Steelers are 5-4.

Browns are 3-6.

Last week the Steelers had a close home victory against the Rams by a score of 17-12.

Browns won a close game over to the Bills by the score of 19-16.

Browns are the favorite at -3.0.

The over/under total is 41.

The money line is Browns -150 and Steelers +150.

The Browns are the home team.

Steelers have won their last 4 games.

Pittsburgh is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games in Cleveland.

The Steelers are 2nd in the NFL with 26 forced takeaways.

RB James Conner is expected to play after sitting out the last two games with a shoulder injury. Kareem Hunt will help boost the running game for the Browns. This gives Cleveland a 1-2 punch with Nick Chubb as the primary ball carrier. Steelers allow under 4 yards per carry.

A prop bet that looks appealing is rushing yardage of Conner against Chubb. Chubb price is -167 and Conner +131. Kareem Hunt over 47.5 in total yards passing and receiving is a solid play. The number is a favorable -112.

I have a lean toward the Browns to win this game. I will go with laying the number. I am 10-7 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday. Since I was away for a week, I will make another lean and take the game over 41.

Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back. Share your thoughts about tonight’s game.

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