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Pittsburgh Steelers running back James Conner, left, gets by Los Angeles Chargers outside linebacker Jatavis Brown as he runs for a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019, in Carson, California.
Pittsburgh Steelers running back James Conner, left, gets by Los Angeles Chargers outside linebacker Jatavis Brown as he runs for a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Oct. 13, 2019, in Carson, California.|Kyusung Gong | Associated Press
NFL

Monday Night Football: Mims picks Steelers vs Dolphins and looks at a James Conner rushing yardage prop bet

Robert Mims

Robert Mims

Here are my key factors for the game tonight between Pittsburgh and Miami:

Steelers are the favorite at -14.5.

The over/under total is 43.5.

The money line is Steelers -835 and Miami +600.

Steelers are 2-4.

Dolphins are 0-6.

The Steelers are coming off a bye week.

Miami has a slew of injuries and just suffered a loss to the Bills 31-21.

This is the Dolphins second straight road game.

The Steelers are the home team.

The Steelers are one of the top teams in the NFL in takeaways. The Dolphins turn the ball over at an alarming rate. This combination plays into the hands of the Steelers. They will have Mason Rudolph back at QB. His starts have shown a tendency to manage the game and make conservative throws. James Conner will get a heavy workload if Pittsburgh jumps out to a double-digit lead.

The prop bet that looks appealing is Conner rushing yardage over 70.5. The price at -112.

Ryan Fitzpatrick has a prop of throwing an interception. The price is high at -250. Look at what your bankroll is and decide if this play works for you.

I have a lean toward the Steelers to win this game. My play would be to lay the points.

I am 9-5 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday. Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back. Share your thoughts about tonight’s game.

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