NFL MNF: Mims picks the Patriots at Jets and likes a Tom Brady prop bet (He's 8-4 so far on MNF and TNF)

These are the key numbers for the game tonight between New England and New York. Patriots are 6-0. The Jets are coming off an upset of the Cowboys spurred by the return of QB Sam Darnold. The Pats dominated the Giants 35-14. New England is the favorite at -9.5. The over/under total is 43.5. The money line is Pats -430 and Jets +350. The Jets are the home team.

The Patriots are 4-2 at the Meadowlands over the last six seasons. The average margin of victory in those games was 6 points.

The prop bet that looks appealing is Tom Brady over 300 in passing yardage. The price at -112. This is a good price. Look for Julian Edelman to have a big game. Josh Gordon is out so more targets for Edelman.

I have a lean toward the Patriots to win this game. My play would be the money line. My lean was good on the TNF game when I took the Chiefs. So far, I am 8-4 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday. It’s still early but exceeding the target of hitting 54% of my plays. I will give a percentage after week 8. Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back. Share your thoughts about tonight’s game.

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