Monday Night Football: Mims picks Browns vs Jets
In this Sunday, Sept. 8, 2019, file photo, Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. is introduced as he runs out on the field before an NFL football game against the Tennessee Titans, in Cleveland.Ron Schwane | Associated Press

Monday Night Football: Mims picks Browns vs Jets

These are the key things to keep in mind for the game tonight between New York and Cleveland:

The Jets are the home team.

The Jets lost to the Bills after having a lead of 16-0 in the second half last week.

The Browns were destroyed in a 43-13 loss to the Titans.

The Browns are the favorite at -6 and the over/under total is 45.5.

The money line on DraftKings is Browns -275 and Jets +215.

This line is inflated because Sam Darnold is not playing.

The Browns are coming off a poor performance that did not indicate the level of improvement for this team. Baker Mayfield and Odell Beckham are prime time players that will play well on Monday Night. Jets will rely heavily on LeVeon Bell, but the Browns will load up against him.

The prop bets that stand out on FanDuel are Mayfield over 270 in passing yardage. His number is 270.5 at -112. This is a good price and worth a look. OBJ receiving yardage is listed at 80.5 at -112. If he wears his watch, he should hit that number by 10:10 or the 3rd quarter. I saw a quarterback matchup on DraftKings that pitted Mayfield against Jet’s starter Trevor Siemian. Mayfield is -225 to have more passing yards than his counterpart.

I have a lean toward the Browns to dominate this game.

My lean was not good on the TNF game when I took the Panthers. So far, I am 2-1 in my selections on NFL Monday and Thursday. If you can select and hit 54% of your plays and avoid volatile bet swings you can have a good season.

Look for value and choose intelligently. Follow me on Twitter. Use the #GTLivechat and I will follow you back. Share your thoughts about tonight’s game.


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