Happy Tuesday, fellow sports bettors! Monday was incredible for us on the college hardwood, as our player props enjoyed a 3-0 sweep to run our record to 27-20 on the young season. That pulls our overall profit up to +8.2 units.
Ismael Leggett of Pittsburgh got the party started by going over his point total against Virginia. In the late Big 12 nightcap, both the Kansas and Iowa State defenses reigned supreme, as Hunter Dickinson and Joshua Jefferson both stayed under their respective point totals.
PSA: While it always feels good to sweep the board, I advise all of you to still practice conservative money management. I'm glad we're on a heater, but keep your betting amounts the same. Let's get into today's plays!
Marquette at St. John's: 6:30 PM EST (FS1)
Betting on star players to go under their point totals is kind of our thing around here, but it's never comfortable. Jones is a dynamic point guard and he's Marquette's best scoring option. However, Jones's median point total this season is just 18.
Not only does the median make this Under attractive, but the matchup does as well. Even with Jones's innate scoring ability, he could find the going tough against St. John's. The Red Storm ranks an impressive 3rd in defensive efficiency and 6th in two-point defense.
Look for Rick Pitino's squad to play with lots of fire on the defensive end at home. Give me yet another scary Under!
Jones is 15-7 to the Under vs. this line in '24-25.
He's scored 20 points or fewer in 6 of his last 7 outings.
Jones has gone Under this line in 8 of his 9 road or neutral-site games this year.
UK at MISS: 7:00 PM EST (ESPN)
We cashed an Under on Oweh last week against Tennessee's fierce defense, so we might as well run it back this week against Ole Miss. The Rebels D isn't as good as the Vols, but it's still pretty solid, as they rank 24th in defensive efficiency and 50th at defending three-pointers.
Oweh may get a few more field goals attempts if Lamont Butler misses another game with a shoulder injury. While that's a bit of a concern, I still think there's plenty of value in this Under. Oweh's median point total on the year is just 15.
Oweh is 13-8 to the Under vs. this line in '24-25.
He's scored 16 points or fewer in 7 of his last 9 outings.
Oweh has gone Under this line in 5 of his 8 road or neutral-site games this year.
UK at MISS: 7:00 PM EST (ESPN)
Williams was Kentucky's top scorer for the first time all season on Saturday in a loss against Arkansas. While his 22-point performance was impressive, I think the sportsbooks have over-adjusted a little bit on his total. The 6'10" forward is super talented, but his median this season is just 10 points.
We already talked about how tough Ole Miss's defense is, so I won't bore you with the same old metrics on that. However, I like that the Rebels will have Malik Dia (6'9", 250 lbs.) down low to help limit Williams on the offensive end. Senior Jaemyn Brakefield isn't a bad defender either.
Williams is 14-7 to the Under vs. this line in '24-25.
He's scored 12 points or fewer in 5 of his last 7 outings.
Williams has gone Under this line in 8 of his 8 road or neutral-site games this year.