O'Sullivan's Wednesday 12.22 ACC Picks: Clemson vs. Virginia with an over/under

Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 ACC season so far: 18-21, -$149.14

Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 Ivy League season so far: 17-17, +$31.74

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Clemson Tigers at Virginia Cavaliers, 8 pm Eastern

The Pick: Clemson +3.5 (-105), bet $15.75 to win $15; over 119.5 points (-115), bet $17.25 to win $15

These two teams know each other so Clemson won’t be intimidated going into Virginia’s gym. The Tigers are 8-4 and the Cavaliers are 7-4 but neither team has really played anyone that good; Virginia lost to an Iowa team that’s fallen out of the Top 25. Ken Pomeroy’s rankings have Clemson 46th and UVa 58th, which is enough to convince me to take the 3.5 points here. But Clemson’s adjusted offense is 28th, quite good for any team, and while Virginia historically plays solid defense, this year they’re not the stalwarts of the past. I think Clemson wins tonight, and I’m taking the over because even though the Cavs have held opposing teams to 55.2 points per game, the Tigers have scored 75.9 per game. In fact, Clemson hasn’t scored fewer than 59 all year. History or no, Virginia ain’t holding Clemson to 20 points below its average.