In the last eight Villanova regular season finales, the Over is riding along at a nice, healthy 6-1-1.
Now, check out how those O/U results fared against the lines posted for the last five of those games (chronologically):
> Over by 30
> Over by 11
> Under by 4
> Over by 15
> Over by 13.
We were all set to go with a nice, big Alternative Over line until – just for the heck of it – we checked Villanova’s O/U performance lately.
Uh oh . . . And a big uh oh it is.
Uh oh as in to the tune of 5-15 O/U over the last 20.
The Wildcats went Over in the Seton Hall win this week, but their three before that were Under by 21, 14 and 17.
And I think that is the way we will go. The O/U is 144.5, so we go Under the Under.
(And don’t you just love it when we change the current mid-stream?)
Under 139.5 (+150) . . . $10 / $15