Look for Jayson Tatum to facilitate the Celtics offense and cover his assists prop in game 4.
Look for Jayson Tatum to facilitate the Celtics offense and cover his assists prop in game 4.

Celtics vs Heat: Game 4 Odds, Best Bets, and Player Prop Picks

Boston is in Miami for Game 4, as the Heat look to defend home court and even up this round 1 playoff series.

The Celtics were able to respond to a game 2 loss by beating the Heat 104-84 on Saturday, taking a 2-1 series lead. Boston is 2-1 against the spread in this series, while the under has cashed in 2-of-3 games.

Boston opened as a 10-point favorite and the consensus spread currently sits at 10.5 points. The total opened at 204, which is where it remains at most sportsbooks.

This game is the first half of tonight's TNT doubleheader and tips off at 7:30 PM EDT.

Best Bet: Over 204

We have been hammering the under throughout the NBA Playoffs, but with this total coming down to 204, the over is the play tonight. These teams have played over this total in 2 out of 3 games played this series, with the only miss coming in game 3 where the Heat shot just 9-of-28 from 3.

Looking at the 6 games these teams have played this season, the average total sits at 218 points. Recent betting trends indicate the over is the play as well. Miami has gone over in 11 of it's last 15 games, while the over has cashed in 12 of Boston's last 17 games.

We've got to count on the Heat not laying an absolute dud again, but we think an amped up home crowd should provide the boost needed to get enough of a fight out of Miami to get over this total.

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F Jaime Jaquez (MIA): Over 14.5 PTS

Coach Spo and the Heat know that the only way they can compete in this series is with Jaquez leading the charge on offense. Jaime has averaged exactly 14 PPG in their three matchups with Boston this series while having 13 or more shot attempts in each game.

Due to play over 30 minutes in what seems to be a must-win game for Miami, Spo will get Jaime the matchups in the post in order for the rookie wing to succeed. 

F Jayson Tatum (BOS): Over 5.0 AST

In 11 away games against Miami in his postseason career, Tatum has gone for 5 or more assists in 9 of those matchups, including six assists in Game 3’s win.

Coach Spo and the Heat are incredible at shutting down opposing stars at home, so expect Tatum to struggle to maintain efficiency as a scorer, but continue to find his Boston shooters for open attempts.

We expect a higher-scoring game and a Celtics win, and Tatum should be the primary engine behind Boston's offense.

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