The Heat are in a must-win tonight in Miami.
The Heat are in a must-win tonight in Miami.nba.com

Mims picks NBA Finals Game 4 Nuggets vs Heat: Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo prop bets

Friday night in Miami. Nuggets lead series 2-1.

The NBA Finals continues tonight with Game 4 between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat. The Nuggets hold a 2-1 lead in the series. Denver is favored by 3 and the total is 211.

Denver was dominant in game 3 with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray each having a triple double. Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo combined for 50 points but no other starter for Miami reached double digits. Miami had more points from their bench than Denver 28-24.

Player Props for Game 4: Jamal Murray is shooting over 50% in both Nugget victories. He is also getting over 9 assists a game. I expect those levels of production to continue. Take Murray over 7.5 assists. The price is -135. The price for Murray’s points is -125. He goes over in points as well.

Jimmy Butler to score over 26.5 points. The price is -129. Butler scored 28 in the last game on 11-24 shooting from the field. He will shoot a higher percentage with the same number of shots tonight. Take him over. Bam Adebayo over 10.5 rebounds. Adebayo’s price is -127. Bam has at least 9 rebounds in each game of the series. He goes over in a game he will play for at least 40 minutes.

The Selection: The Nuggets have led in most of the quarters in this series. The 4th quarter of Game 1 and 2 are the ones that Miami cut into Nuggets leads. Miami cannot fall 3-1 so this is a must game for them – a bounce back game for the other Heat starters. Slight lean-to Miami but taking the over 211.0. The games have zig zag with the total and the last game went under easily.

Follow me on Twitter during the 2nd quarter of the game.

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