Two ultra-competitive veterans for the Miami Heat.
Two ultra-competitive veterans for the Miami Heat.@MiamiHEAT on Twitter

O'Sullivan's Wednesday NBA Playoffs Pick: Celtics vs Heat as Jimmy Butler tries to rebound from Boston blowout

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat, 8:30 pm Eastern.

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Follow my picks on Twitter: @OSullyPicks

Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 NBA Season so far: 230-244-7, -$739.89

(Yesterday: 1-0, +$5.00)

NBA Playoffs so far: 29-21, +$92.55

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. And COVID protocols. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Boston Celtics at Miami Heat, 8:30 pm Eastern

The Pick: over 203.5 points (-110), bet $11 to win $10

For this crucial Game 5, the over/under has come down from roughly 207.5 in the earlier games. I feel that’s recency bias, given Game 4’s 102-82 score. Boston started that game off 17-1 and finished the first quarter leading 29-11. In other words, Miami was never in the game from the opening tip and in a way, both teams cruised somewhat. Game 5 will be fought tooth-and-nail, but 203.5 seems low for a game where Jimmy Butler will be prominently involved and coming off a lackluster performance. Butler had only 7 points in Game 4 but clearly dialed it back once it was clear the Celtics were winning easily. Butler is banged up a bit but games like this are where he shines. The combination of intensity, better offense, and a lowered line has me siding with the over.

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