O'Sullivan's Monday NBA Picks: After hot Sunday, Kings at Pistons, Pacers at Knicks, Domantas Sabonis prop
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O'Sullivan's Monday NBA Picks: After hot Sunday, Kings at Pistons, Pacers at Knicks, Domantas Sabonis prop

Sacramento Kings at Detroit Pistons, 7 pm Eastern, Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks, 7:30 pm.

We had a nice Sunday. The problem so far this season has been stringing together a few nice days in a row. Let’s see what we can do about that this week; we’ll start off small and hopefully build as we move towards the weekend…

Seattle O’Sullivan 2021-2022 NBA Season so far: 57-65-2, -$204.43

(Standing Caveat: The universe is chaotic. Life is unpredictable. Things happen. Like injuries. In following Seattle O’Sullivan’s betting advice, be advised that you should always monitor your bets during the day to make certain unforeseen things have not occurred which might change your wagering opinion. Thank you.)

Sacramento Kings at Detroit Pistons, 7 pm Eastern

The Pick: Sacramento -4.5 (-110), bet $15.90 to win $14.45; Sacramento winning margin 1-5 (+400), bet $4 to win $16

Building on my hedge twist from yesterday…I like Sacramento to win this game and to cover. However, I’ll guard a bit against the “home dog” by hedging with a play on the Kings to win but by fewer than five. Sacramento is only 5-8 but I still think they’re a frisky team that fights. They’re actually better against the spread (6-7) than they are straight up. Some of their losses are against good teams, and they’re capable of beating playoff contenders. They’re also fifth in points per game (110.3) while Detroit is last (97.6). Finally, they’ve had three days' rest, so I think they’ll handle the Pistons tonight.

Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks, 7:30 pm Eastern

The Pick: Indiana +3.5 (-113), bet $5 to win $4.45

Once again, it’s the line going from 3 to 3.5 which persuades me to take the underdog, here. I think Indiana and New York are very evenly matched teams even if the Knicks have started off a little better. They’re 10th and 11th in points per game, but New York gives up a little more defensively. The Pacers have won two in a row while the Knicks have lost two straight, three straight at home. I expect the game to be tight and when a game should be tight, take the points.

Player Prop Parlay: Domantas Sabonis 15+ points w/8+ rebounds -106, bet $3.16 to win $3

Essentially an even-money bet on Sabonis scoring three fewer than his scoring average and grabbing three fewer than his rebounding average.

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