6 Monday NBA Props: Fats picks Luke Kennard, Kawhi, Nic Batum, Dwight Howard, Seth Curry, one 2nd quarter
0-5 yesterday. When it rains it pours. Would have won the Nikola Jokic bet except for him getting thrown out of the game.
Monday Playoff Picks
Two games, six plays. I've been shooting too many bricks recently. Part of the reason has been the inconsistency of play – blowouts, injuries, ejections – and part has been that bookmakers have made it more difficult to find value props – either raising the number on the over/under and/or lowering the odds.
As of 4 pm EDT, my book didn't even have any individual props for a Jazz player, perhaps waiting for status on Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley.
All wagers and returns based on $10. Please check game time lineups before wagering.
76ers at HAWKS 7:35 pm EDT, Jazz at CLIPPERS 10:05 pm.
2-pointers: Luke Kennard (Clippers) Over 1.5 made threes +160 (returns $26.00) The issue with Kennard is whether he's going to play enough to minutes to hoist enough shots. It's a risk. But he's made 2+ threes in five of his last six home games.
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) to score more points than Donovan Mitchell +116 (returns $21.60) Leonard has been playing terrific. If Mitchell's ankle is not 100 percent, this seems a likely outcome.
Nicolas Batum (Clippers) Over 1.5 made threes +110 (returns $21.00) Batum has made 2+ threes in each of the last three games and has become part of the Clipper offense.
Free throws: None
Steals: Dwight Howard (Sixers) Over 10.5 points, rebounds, assists -113 (returns $18.90) I'm calling 5 points, 5 boards and an assist.
Seth Curry (Sixers) Over 18.5 points, rebounds, assists -113 (returns $18.90) Curry had an 18 PRA in the last game but in the first two he went for 28 and 23.
CLIPPERS vs Jazz 2nd quarter points over 55.5 -115 (returns $18.70). The three 2nd quarters have gone 64, 60, 63. Hoping the trend continues.
3-pointers: Khris Middleton (Bucks) double-double +225 (returns $32.50) Middleton had 19 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds.
2-pointers: Bruce Brown (Nets) Over 2.5 assists +106 (returns $20.60) Brown had 2 assists in 20 minutes.
Free throws: Jae Crowder (Suns) Over 11.5 points -105 (returns $19.60) Crowder had been scoring between 8 and 18 points every playoff game. Yesterday he scored 9.
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) Over 5.5 assists -106 (returns $19.50) Giannis had only 3 assists.
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) Over 49.5 points, rebounds, assists -106 (returns $19.50) Jokic was at 22-11-4 = 37 when he got tossed after playing only 28 minutes.
$50 wagered (0-5, $0 returned
Day 23: -$50.00
Total: +$24.30 (53-77 off 130 $10 wagers)
Total: -$44.60 (4-10 off 14 $10 wagers)
Total: +20.65 (252-326 off 578 $10 wagers)