NBA Saturday: Fats picks props for Bruce Brown, Nerlens Noel, Michael Carter-Williams, Nets vs Mavs & Wizards
2-3 last night. Lost lost less than $9. Watched a lot of the Celtics-Pacers game and Jayson Tatum needs some load management: 8-38, 2-12 from three in his last two games. I was afraid they were going to need to replace the rims in Boston.
Four games, five picks. Again looking to turn a profit.
All wagers and returns based on $10. Please check game time lineups before wagering.
Timberwolves at WIZARDS 7:05 pm EST, Pacers at KNICKS 8:05 pm, Jazz at MAGIC 8:05 pm, Mavericks at NETS 8:35 pm
2-pointers: Michael Carter-Williams (Magic) Over 4.5 assists +135 (returns $23.50) MCW has had 5 or more assists in five straight games.
Bruce Brown (Nets) Over 20.5 points, rebounds, assists +100 (returns $20.00) No Kyrie, no KD, Brown should get 30+ minutes and when he plays he's produced.
Free throws: Nerlens Noel (Knicks) Over 15.5 points, rebounds, assists -110 (returns $19.10) Sabonis and Turner played a lot of tough minutes last night in Boston. I think Noel will have the fresher legs and go for something like 10-7-1.
Mavericks vs NETS Under 233 -109 (returns $19.20) The Nets are playing their best ball of the season and without Kyrie or KD tonight, the only way they win is to play some D. The Mavs have also stopped having shootouts and 233 still means 58+ point quarters.
WIZARDS -4 Over Timberwolves -112 (returns $19.00) The once woeful Wizards have won 6 of their last 7. The now-woeful Wolves have lost 10 of their last 11 and will play without D'Angelo Russell and Malik Beasley.
2-pointers: Mike Conley (Jazz) Over 5.5 assists +125 (returns $22.50) Conley finished with 7 assists.
Steals: Jazz over 112.5 points vs. HEAT -114 (returns $18.80) The Jazz lost 124-116 but 116 is more than 112.5.
3-pointers: Jaylen Brown (Celtics) Over 23.5 points and Celtics win +200 (returns $30.00) The Celtics won 118-112 but Brown finished with only 15.
Free throws: PISTONS +2 Over Kings -110 (returns $19.10) In a nailbiter, the Pistons lost 110-107.
Suns vs. BULLS Over 226 -112 (returns $19.00) The chances of 226 were toast early. The Suns won 106-97 = 203.
$50 wagered (2-3), $41.30 returned.
Day 62: -$8.70
Total: +$48.65 (134-158 off 292 $10 wagers)