NBA pick of the day: Raptors vs Nuggets — is Denver's home-court advantage really worth four points?

0-1 Saturday, 101-97-2 overall.

Raptors (+4) @ Nuggets (218)

Pick: Raptors +4

The Raptors have earned our respect to where we’re going to trust that their loss on Friday to Charlotte as a 14-point favorite was nothing more than a blip on the radar screen. If you believe that, then you have to like them catching four points today in the Mile High City. The Raptors might be slightly better than the Nuggets anyway. If anything this is two even teams and while the Nuggets are one of the Association’s better home teams, is their home-court advantage really worth four points? It seems like Denver is being overpriced here which has happened before in the regular season. Such would explain the Nuggets posting a 23-7 straight-up record at home in 2019-2020 but only going 14-14-2 ATS in those 30 games. I’ll take the Raptors getting more than one possession against almost anyone.