Sixers' Joel Embiid will continue to need to provide even more offense in the absence of Ben Simmons.
Sixers' Joel Embiid will continue to need to provide even more offense in the absence of Ben Simmons.Matt Slocum | Associated Press

Wednesday BoopStats picks Embiid’s over/under as Sixers head to Cleveland to face the Cavs

It is easy to look at Joel Embiid’s career-high 49 points against the Atlanta Hawks Monday and feel his getting to Over 25.5 Wednesday against the Cavaliers (16-41) in Cleveland is a no-brainer.

And it is.

Until you see the last six times he went for 30+, in which he failed to crack the 25-point barrier in the next game every time. The absence of Ben Simmons here and the need for Embiid to fill that scoring hole probably offsets those results. All you have to do is talk yourself into the steep price (-152). Which we did.

Now, we go to the boards, where his O/U is 11.5.

He has had 12+ in 22 of his 42 games this season. He is coming off a 14-rebound performance to go with his 49 points against the Hawks, but he hasn’t had consecutive games of a dozen or more boards since Dec. 20-21.

Cleveland recently broke a 12-game home losing streak with a pair of wins, but they are worse at home (8-19) than the Sixers are on the road (9-20).

Embiid & Company are due for an easy one away from South Philly, so he might not get enough minutes to get to 11.5 rebounds.

But the points should be no problem.

Joel Embiid –

Points Over 25.5 (-152) . . . $15 / $9.90

Rebounds Under 11.5 (+110) . . $10 / $11

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