Tip is 10:30 pm EST.
1-1 Wednesday, 81-78-1 overall.
Kings (+13) @ Clippers (225.5)
Pick: Kings +13
The Clippers have taken a lot of money here and this number has gotten a little out of control. We’ve written a couple times this season about how profitable of an underdog Sacramento has been. While the Kings got blown out last night as short home dogs against Oklahoma City, the bigger the number, the more success they’ve had covering. Overall as a dog, the Kings are 16-13-1 ATS which is good for a 55% cover rate. Those that bet daily understand the difficulties in picking standard juice winners at a 55% success rate so 16-13-1 might not seem like much to the average fan but to a gambler it’s pretty good. However, that cover rate jumps drastically when Sacramento is catching at least 7.5 points. In that spot, the Kings are 6-3 ATS so far in 2019-2020. That’s what we have here and at 13, this number is enough of an overreaction to last night’s Kings loss for us to hop on Sacramento. Remember, no team is as bad or as good as it looks on any one given night. Blindly betting on teams that get blown out in their next game or betting against teams that blow out their opponent in their next game is usually wise. We don’t normally like backing teams on the tail end of a back-to-back, but this isn’t much travel for the Kings and it’s so many points where we simply cannot pass.