The UFC returns to the Apex on Saturday night in what should be a very eventful night. Tougher card to make bets on, but there are a lot of intriguing matchups.
We have some experienced veterans and some highly talented prospects looking to move up in the rankings with big splash victories.
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Caio Borralho Is The Real Deal
Borralho has been on a nice run in UFC, he is 16-2, 6-0 in UFC and has multiple paths to victory against a more experienced, but aged Jared Cannonier.
Borralho is fluid in his movement, stays bouncy on his toes, ready to explode or make a big moment happen at any time. He has found 4 decisions in 6 UFC fights, but we could see a finish in this one!
Cannonier is coming off a KO loss to Imavov, and though he has a good chance to bounce back, Borralho is going to be too physical, too quick, and Caio is absolutely live for a submission or KO victory. 9 of Caio’s 16 professional wins have been by finish, 5 KO, and 4 submissions.
Cavalcanti/Nunes Will Find Later Rounds
Nothing too exciting about this fight, Cavalcanti is coming off a year layoff, and Nunes is coming off a tough loss to a tough opponent. 5 of Cavalcanti’s professional fights have gone past 1.5 rounds, while 8 of Nunes' 12 fights have also gone past 1.5. I expect this fight to stay on the feet and for these girls to test each other.
Both have KO potential, but Cavalcanti's style is to stay at range, keep distance, she likes to use leg kicks as her opponents move forward and that is what I expect Nunes to do.
She will move forward and pressure, but all 4 of these girls UFC fights have all gone 3 rounds. Nunes will work to get inside, but I can also see Cavalcanti trying to take this to the ground or gain cage control, which would help us!
For what it's worth, I do think this fight goes o2.5 rounds so if you want less juice, go that route here for close to + money.
Ricci Looking To Move Into Top 10
I rarely wager on women's MMA, other than the over rounds props, which most cards have been gold mines. Here I feel fairly confident Ricci is in a prime position to get her 2nd win in a row. She's already commented how big this win will be, it should move her into the top 10, something that has her very motivated.
This will not be easy, and I don’t love going against Hill. She's a crafty vet that can outpoint you on the feet and drag out a decision on anyone. I believe Ricci’s takedowns and control time will be too much by the end of this fight. It should go all 3 rounds, where I can see Ricci squeaking out 2 of 3 rounds.
Ricci will have to eat some shots from Hill to get inside but Hill has little power and when Ricci gets her down I think she has a good chance to ground and pound looking for submissions, which Hill is 1-2 to sub in her career. All 7 of Ricci's UFC fights have gone past 4:30 round 1, while 21 of 22 Hills UFC fights have gone past this mark.
2-Leg Parlay (-141) Bet365:
Caio Borralho ML + Cavalcanti/Nunes o1.5 Rounds
2-Leg SGP (-105) DraftKings:
Tabitha Ricci ML
Fight Go Over 4.5 Minutes
BONUS BET:
3-Leg Parlay (+626) DraftKings
Borralho Sub/KO + Morales Sub/KO + Reese Sub/KO