MLB Thursday Betting Trends & Stat Insights for Phillies vs Dodgers – Zach Wheeler, Tyler Anderson, over/under

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers, 10:10 pm EDT.
Zach Wheeler takes the hill tonight for the Phillies.
Zach Wheeler takes the hill tonight for the Phillies.@Phillies on Twitter

Check out out offers at the bottom of the page for OddsJam, Caesars, PointsBet and FuboTV.


Today's contest between the Dodgers and the Phillies pits THE BAT's 9th ranked SP (Zack Wheeler) against the 150th ranked SP (Tyler Anderson). The rundown on Wheeler tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 37.1% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (29.0%). Anderson is a four-seam guy (35.4%) who brings a changeup as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Wheeler deserves something like a 3.04 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 4.10. On that front, Anderson's ERA sits at 2.78 and his FIP at 3.21.

Phillies Insights:

  1. Zack Wheeler's fastball velocity has decreased 1.6 mph this year (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (96.4 mph).

  2. Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

  3. Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as an elite pitch framer, per THE BAT projection system.

Dodgers Insights:

  1. Tyler Anderson is an extreme fly ball pitcher (38.6% FB% according to THE BAT projections) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue in MLB today.

  2. The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in the majors, according to THE BAT.

Betting Trends:

  1. The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.60 Units / 16% ROI)

  2. The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)

NEW! Bettors Insider recommends OddsJam!

OddsJam is an odds comparison company that offers tools to help sports bettors become more profitable. OddsJam is the best tool for line shopping to get the best odds to become a more profitable sports bettor. We love their Arbitrage Alerts, which give you a real chance to make money using math and not your gut. Bet like a hedge fund manager! Sign up for OddsJam here!

PointsBet is NOW LIVE in Pennsylvania!

2 RISK-Free Bets up to $2,000!

1st bet matched up to $1,500, 2nd bet matched up to $500.

Sign up here!

Sign Up With Caesars! NOW LIVE in Illinois!

Bettors Insider is in the process of getting licensed in more states, but if you're in New York, New Jersey, Tennessee, Illinois or Iowa, and you're not signed up with Caesars Sportsbook, what are you waiting for? The commercials with JB Smoove, Halle Berry and the Mannings alone are worth a sign-up. And there are all kinds of perks. You can sign-up here.

Cut the Cord, Save money with Fubo TV

Fubo TV has lots of channels, tons of sports, a great price and a free trial. What could be better? Sign up for a FREE TRIAL of Fubo TV here. No hidden fees, Cancel anytime.Loyola

Trending Stories

No stories found.
Bettors Insider