MLB Thursday Betting Trends & Stat Insights for Phillies vs Dodgers – Zach Wheeler, Tyler Anderson, over/under
Today's contest between the Dodgers and the Phillies pits THE BAT's 9th ranked SP (Zack Wheeler) against the 150th ranked SP (Tyler Anderson). The rundown on Wheeler tells us that he leans on his four-seamer fastball 37.1% of the time and keeps hitters off balance with a slider (29.0%). Anderson is a four-seam guy (35.4%) who brings a changeup as his most-trusted secondary offering. Advanced stats (namely, FIP) tell us that Wheeler deserves something like a 3.04 ERA, compared to his actual ERA of 4.10. On that front, Anderson's ERA sits at 2.78 and his FIP at 3.21.
Phillies Insights:
Zack Wheeler's fastball velocity has decreased 1.6 mph this year (94.8 mph) below where it was last year (96.4 mph).
Rhys Hoskins has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto projects as an elite pitch framer, per THE BAT projection system.
Dodgers Insights:
Tyler Anderson is an extreme fly ball pitcher (38.6% FB% according to THE BAT projections) and is stuck pitching in the #4 HR venue in MLB today.
The Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 2nd-best in the majors, according to THE BAT.
Betting Trends:
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.60 Units / 16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
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