MLB Opening Day Stat Tips: Pirates vs Cardinals – JT Brubaker faces ageless Adam Wainwright
Adam Wainwright will pass Bob Gibson with his 7th opening day start for the Cardinals.@Cardinals on Twitter

MLB Opening Day Stat Tips: Pirates vs Cardinals – JT Brubaker faces ageless Adam Wainwright

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals, 4:15 pm EDT.

Check out out offers at the bottom of the page for OddsJam, Caesars, PointsBet and FuboTV.

Thursday afternoon the Pittsburgh Pirates battle against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. The Pirates offense will be led by Bryan Reynolds, who ranks as the #26-best hitter in baseball according to THE BAT X. Given Reynolds' profile and today's matchup specifics, THE BAT X expects him to average a 0.335 wOBA, 0.268 AVG, and 0.15 HRs. On the other side, Paul Goldschmidt (THE BAT X's #28 hitter in MLB) will bolster the Cardinals lineup. He projects for a 0.353 wOBA, 0.266 AVG, and 0.18 HRs.

Pirates Insights:

  1. THE BAT X projects JT Brubaker to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

  2. Ke'Bryan Hayes's 5.1% Barrel% is in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

  3. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 97 percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and has to hit them towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Cardinals Insights:

  1. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Adam Wainwright must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 62.7% of the time, checking in at the 90th percentile.

  2. Tyler O'Neill's 98.9-mph exit velocity on fly balls ranks in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

  3. St. Louis ranks as the #2 group of hitters when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (16.4% rate since the start of last season).

NEW! Bettors Insider recommends OddsJam!

OddsJam is an odds comparison company that offers tools to help sports bettors become more profitable. OddsJam is the best tool for line shopping to get the best odds to become a more profitable sports bettor. We love their Arbitrage Alerts, which give you a real chance to make money using math and not your gut. Bet like a hedge fund manager! Sign up for OddsJam here!

PointsBet is NOW LIVE in Pennsylvania!

2 RISK-Free Bets up to $2,000!

1st bet matched up to $1,500, 2nd bet matched up to $500.

Sign up here!

Sign Up With Caesars! NOW LIVE in Illinois!

Bettors Insider is in the process of getting licensed in more states, but if you're in New York, New Jersey, Tennessee, Illinois or Iowa, and you're not signed up with Caesars Sportsbook, what are you waiting for? The commercials with JB Smoove, Halle Berry and the Mannings alone are worth a sign-up. And there are all kinds of perks. You can sign-up here.

Cut the Cord, Save money with Fubo TV

Fubo TV has lots of channels, tons of sports, a great price and a free trial. What could be better? Sign up for a FREE TRIAL of Fubo TV here. No hidden fees, Cancel anytime.Loyola

Related Stories

No stories found.