MLB Opening Day Stat Tips: Mets vs Nationals with Tylor Megill on the mound against Patrick Corbin

Mets at Nationals, 7:05 pm EDT.
With aces out, Mets hope to start season with a lot of fives.
With aces out, Mets hope to start season with a lot of fives.@Mets on Twitter

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Right-hander Tylor Megill is expected to start today for New York, while left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the nod at home for Washington. The last time Megill was on the bump, he recorded the win as the as the Mets beat the Braves 4-3. He left allowing 0 earned runs and recording 6 strikeouts with 1 walks. Corbin's last start was against the Rockies, when he recorded the loss as the Nationals were defeated by the Rockies 3-1. Over 6 innings pitched, he allowed 2 Earned Runs with 6 Hits. He also recorded 9 Strikeouts with 3 Walks.

Mets Insights:

  1. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Tylor Megill has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 42.4% of the time, putting him in the 100th percentile.

  2. Pete Alonso's maximum exit velocity has been 118.4 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

  3. The New York Mets (20.4 K%, per THE BAT X) project to have the 12th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today.

Nationals Insights:

  1. Patrick Corbin has posted an 18.7% strikeout rate since the start of last season, putting him in the 20th percentile.

  2. Josh Bell is an extreme ground ball batter and squares off against New York's #7-ranked infield defense in this matchup.

  3. The 7.1% Barrel% of the Washington Nationals grades them out as the #25 club in MLB since the start of last season by this standard.

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