Friday MLB Best Bets: J.J. picks strikeouts in Mets vs Blue Jays, Tigers vs White Sox, Cubs vs Brewers, and Reds vs Cardinals
New York Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom winds up during the second inning of a baseball game against the Philadelphia Phillies, Sunday, Sept. 6, 2020, in New York. Kathy Willens | Associated Press

Friday MLB Best Bets: J.J. picks strikeouts in Mets vs Blue Jays, Tigers vs White Sox, Cubs vs Brewers, and Reds vs Cardinals

Today features lots of aces and other really good arms with high K/9 rates, so it seems right to focus in on strikeouts.

This Friday features a lot of aces and other really good arms, so it seems right to focus in on these pitchers. Specifically, we will be taking a dive into strikeout numbers, and finding the best matchups to exploit strong strikeout numbers. Below are pitchers with K/9 rates well over 10. There are surely going to be a lot of swings and misses today. Let’s get into it.


New York Mets @ Toronto Blue Jays

SP: Jacob deGrom – T-5th in strikeouts (70), 13.13 K/9

Note: 70 strikeouts in only 48 IP. After low pitch count early in season, has topped 100 pitches in each of last 3 games (20 IP, 35 K’s).

Last Outing: Against Phillies, 7 IP with 12 punchouts. Threw season high 108 pitches.

Prop: Over 9.5 Strikeouts (-105).


Detroit Tigers @ Chicago White Sox

SP: Lucas Giolito – 2nd in strikeouts (75), 12.34 K/9

Note: Only below 6 strikeouts in one game which occurred in 7 inning DH. Since throwing 80 and 85 pitches in first two starts, he has topped 94 pitches every game since.

Last Outing: At Kansas City, registered 9 strikeouts over 6 innings. Threw 104 pitches.

Prop: Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-165)

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

SP: Brandon Woodruff – T-19th in strikeouts (55), 10.76 K/9

Note: 22 strikeouts over last 15.1 innings. Concern is number of pitches as he averages 91 pitches thrown a game, and has yet to top 96.

Last Outing: At Cleveland, fanned 7 in 4.1 IP. Allowed a lot of baserunners, but limited damage with 3 runs while throwing 94 pitches.

Prop: Over 6.5 strikeouts (-105)


Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals

SP: Luis Castillo – T-14th in strikeouts (60), 12.46 K/9

Note: 24 punchouts over last 17 innings and hasn’t thrown less than 89 pitches in a game this season.

Last Outing: At Pittsburgh, threw 6 innings while fanning 8. Only a 7 inning game and he threw 93 pitches.

Prop: Over 5.5 strikeouts (-159)

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