BoopProps Monday - MLB: Phillies vs. Yankees, Aaron Judge, Bryce Harper, Rhys Hoskins, Joe Girardi
Monday, Aug. 3
Well, the Phillies and Yankees are finally going to tee it up against each other after a long wait, so let’s get their Prop Bet out of the way early.
There has been a run in the first inning of five of the Yankees’ eight games. The Phillies are coming off (after a week) of putting up a four-spot in the first stanza against the Marlins. Yes, we know they did not have Gerrit Cole on the mound, but guess what? The American League Cy Young runner-up has allowed a first-inning run in both of his starts this season.
Aaron Judge is on a home run roll (five consecutive games, six total) and although only only of them has been in the first inning, that is his career inning of dinger choice (20).
And assuming, Joe Girardi is going to bat Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins 2-3 in some order, it is a good bet there will be first-inning damage. But how much?
The odds for any NYY-Phl first inning run are small (favored in some spots), so we decided to go to William Hill and bet specific outputs (see below). Remember, only one of these will pay off, since the bet is for 1 Run, not Over 1 Run. But once a Phil or Yank does cross the plate in the first inning, we are guaranteed to win money.
Bottom line, we are looking at either a $15 loss (0 Runs), or a win of varying degree. (We include the net winnings for each outcome in parentheses).
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Phillies-Yankees First Inning (WH) –
$5/$16.00 (+$6.00) . . . . 1 Run (+230)
$5/$25.00 (+$15.00) . . . 2 Runs (+500)
$5/$21.50 ($16.50) . . . . 3+ Runs (430)