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Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola works in the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves Tuesday, July 2, 2019, in Atlanta. Philadelphia won 2-0 and Nola earned the victory. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola works in the eighth inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves Tuesday, July 2, 2019, in Atlanta. Philadelphia won 2-0 and Nola earned the victory. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)|Associated Press
MLB

MLB Sunday: Gensler comes in from the bullpen for over/unders featuring Twins v Rangers, Rockies v Dbacks, Phils v Mets, Cards v Giants

Howard Gensler

Howard Gensler

Best bet: Twins @ RANGERS Over 10.5

2nd Best Bet: Rockies @ Diamondbacks Over 8.5

Reverse Psychology Bet: Phillies @ METS Over 8

Trend line bet: Cardinals @ GIANTS over 8

The skinny:
Both the Twins and Rangers hit and both starters have ERAs over 4 so I see a fair number of runs. . . . In the Rockies and Diamondbacks, you have two more teams who hit -- each is averaging over 5 runs a game. The run line is low because of Dback starter Alex Young’s 1.23 ERA, but we’re not sold yet on the limited sample size. . . . Aaron Nola for the Phils and Zack Wheeler for the Mets have been so good recently I think one may lay an egg and Wheeler, even if he’s on, probably won’t go more than 6 innings. 8 is low enough to take a chance. . . . With the Cardinals and Giants, I’m hoping their trend line will continue: the last two games in the series have gone well over and today’s pitchers have been shaky in recent starts. When the two starters (Jack Flaherty, Jeff Samardzija) have a combined 9.22 ERA, an over 8 is hard to pass up.

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