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God's Tipster's Thursday Churchill Downs Pick: The 6th is sprint for 2yo fillies with sweet Riley Mott runner

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Good morning racing fans!

We’re back with racing from Churchill Downs and Belmont at Aqueduct. To our European members - Thursday’s card from Churchill Downs begins at 5 pm EDT so that’s 11 pm UK time. Please keep that in mind if you’re wagering and like to watch live. Not all UK bookmakers accept Churchill Downs. This has been an ongoing issue with Churchill Downs but I’ve got selections for Belmont at Aqueduct as well. I’m expecting fast and firm conditions at both places so let’s not waste any time and get right to work!

Churchill Downs:

Race 6: Raining Sugar - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 8/1)

Two-year-old fillies sprint 6 1/2 furlongs in this allowance/optional claiming event. Our 5/2 morning line favorite is Sam’s Treasure who breaks from the inside and will be on the engine early to maintain that rail position. She should have company early though as Zadorsky and Streaming Now are no slouches with early speed. Like so many of these two-year-old races this time of year we’ve got so many horses with early speed that oftentimes these races are won by runners who have learned to rate from just off the pace and that’s what impressed me the most about Raining Sugar. Raining Sugar debuted for trainer Riley Mott in early August and professionally stalked a reasonably fast early pace before driving clear in the lane. Not only was she visually impressive but her final three and a half furlongs were run in 41.68 – faster by almost a full second than her competition that day and faster than the already quick 41.94 Fibber put up in a similar race at Ellis Park. Fibber is a competitor she’ll meet today. Raining Sugar is out of a stakes placed dam by sire Twirling Candy who wins with 16% of his starters and has been working up a storm since her debut win, putting together back to back snappy four-furlong drills followed by a conditioning five-furlong drill on Sept 1, and capped off with another snappy four-furlong drill. This miss looks like great value at 8/1 or higher.

Two picks at each track so we can get an idea of what each track is playing like as they’ve got simultaneous opening days.

Best of luck to all our members playing Thursday’s races from around the US!

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