God's Tipster's Wednesday Delaware Park pick: The 7th is a turf route with an inside runner at a price
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Good morning racing fans! We’re back for another springtime week of racing from around the US. We crushed it last weekend and are back to put an exclamation point on the month of May. We’ll take a look at the opening day card from Delaware Park where we’re expecting fast and firm conditions. Since this is our first crack at Delaware Park for the season, here are some stats for us since 2019 for my performance at Delaware Park:
Total $2 Win Wagers: 68
Total profit: +$32.80
Average profit per $2 wager: +$0.48
Total dirt profit:+ $14.60
Average profit for $2 wager (dirt): +$0.28
Total profit for dirt routes: $29.20
Average profit per $2 wager (dirt routes):+ $1.21
Total profit for dirt sprints: -($14.60 loss)
Average profit per $2 wager (dirt sprints: -($0.54 loss)
Total turf profit: +$18.20
Average profit for $2 wager (turf): +$1.07
Total profit for turf routes: +$24.20
Average profit per $2 wager (turf routes: +$1.72)
Total profit for turf sprints: -($6.00 loss)
Average profit per $2 wager (turf sprints: -($2.00 loss)
So it’s clear that I’ll be focusing strictly on route races on both turf and dirt. Let’s get to the action!
Race 7: Fortune’s Fool - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 10/1)
Starter allowance runners race a mile and a sixteenth on the lawn. Most eyes will be drawn to the outside as Gunslinger who’s won 5 of 7 starts on the Delaware turf takes on Bode’s Maker from the powerful barn of Jamie Ness. Both have some early speed but both break to the outside of the field (posts 10 & 11). They’re both okay but neither’s overwhelmingly superior on paper and with the two of them hung out to dry on the outside I’m looking inside for a winner and that’s Fortune’s Fool, who breaks from post 2. Fortune’s Fool has no turf form to speak of showing on his recent past performances but actually owns this field’s second highest overall speed figure on grass. His inside post gives him a bit of an advantage going into the first turn and he’s been working well in preparation for his return to turf. It’s nice to see they’re not dropping him in for a tag here and if they leave him alone up front he could be long gone.
Best of luck to all our members playing Wednesday’s opening day races from Delaware Park!