RT's Thursday Keeneland Early Pick 3, closing out with an MSW route for 2yos

RT’s Spot Plays

10.20.22

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Early Pick Three Sequence At Keeneland

Keeneland R1|Post Time: 1 pm ET

Dirt 8.5 Furlongs|3↑ Md Fillies and Mares $20000|Purse: $43K

Really only one horse to play in this and that is 8-Keen Lady (9/5) who drops in for a tag for the first time after three outings. 4-Paris Kentucky (8/5) has been having trouble too often to back. The early tote board action is likely bettors trying to beat the favorite.

8

Keeneland R2|Post Time: 1:32 pm ET

Dirt 6.5 Furlongs|3↑ Fillies and Mares Clm $20000N2L |Purse: $43K

There are too many red flags with favorite 3-Evoking (6/5), such as why is she dropping into a low level claiming race after an 83 Equibase number in her lone start, an MSW race? Why the layoff only to return to this level? Then factor in a :49.6 work at Keeneland, a known fast track for workouts and she is a false favorite. That said, I am taking 2-Donya Know It (9/2) for the usually hot Keeneland trainer Mike Tomlinson and off the claim for Eddie Kenneally with 10-Zmuda (8/1).  

2-10

Keeneland R3|Post Time: 2:04 PM ET

Dirt 8.5 Furlongs |2YO MSW|Purse: $100K

This is a big spread as many second time runners in here who can show improvement and surprise. Those are 1-Escapologiost (7/2), 11-King Russell (10/1), and 12-Mazing Mark (15/1). 3-Phosphorescence (8/1) has shown excellent works on the morning, 13-Ten Days Later (5/2) should get a solid jump from the outside and could go gate to wire, 4-Prince Of Roses (5/1) will also be vying for the lead and can improve today, 7-Endpoint (3/1) showed improvement in her last and a move froward from that race puts her in the mix, and 10-Laver (15/1) is from the Arnold barn where he is 13% in turf to dirt and drops in class today. 

1-3-4-7-10-11-12-13

8

2-10

1-3-4-7-10-11-12-13

Total Ticket - $8