Thursday 1.13 Aqueduct Picks: In the 2nd, against a heavy favorite, God's Tipster says I Love 'Lucy'

Wednesday’s Race Recap:

(All odds US)

Tampa Bay Downs:

(Replays for yesterday’s races from Tampa Bay Downs can be found here:)

Race 3: 6th@ 31.40/1

Race 5: 1st@ 0.50/1 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

In Race 3, we liked wild longshot Tutankhamunatcha and he was far back early, made a move three wide shifting between horses but wasn’t able to sustain his rally checking in sixth. In Race 5, our day’s BEST BET - In Italian – went to the lead and never looked back scoring an impressive and EEEASY win at 1/2 odds here in the States. Hopefully you took your bookmakers for the 3/2 morning line.

Gulfstream Park:

Race 8: 5th@ 6.70/1

We took a shot with Menelik to wire the field in Race 8 but he didn’t pass the class test and faded in the lane after leading the way early. His 20/1 morning line got bet all the way down to 6/1 here in the States so it’s a shame he couldn’t connect as I’m sure a few players locked in 20/1 or higher with their bookmakers.

Let’s head up north to frigid Aqueduct for a Thursday of racing. Sunny skies and frigid temperatures await us but we expect a fast main track. Let’s get to work.

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Aqueduct:

Race 2: Left Leaning Lucy - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 15/1)

So the story of this race will be the 1/5 morning line favorite - Shalimar Gardens – who breaks from the inside here and if she runs back to any of her three most recent starts she’s the likeliest winner. But trainer Horacio DePaz hasn’t had the easiest time when running favorites on the Aqueduct surface. He’s only 1 for 6 with an ROI of just $0.71. Shalimar Gardens herself is only 1 for 5 in her career so let’s try to beat her with Left Leaning Lucy - running a mile for the first time for trainer David Donk. Lucy reunited with Jorge Vargas - the rider aboard for her most recent win and her top speed figure which happened to be over this surface. There’s not much speed signed on here and she’s got the 2 post. If she can outbreak the favorite she might be tough to run down. Let’s break some favorite-playing hearts and make some money in Race 2 with Left Leaning Lucy.

Best of luck to everyone playing Thursday’s races from Aqueduct!