Sunday 12.12 Aqueduct Picks and Gulfstream Park Picks: God's Tipster has 6 selections with 3 longshots
Saturday’s Race Recap from Aqueduct:
(All odds US)
Race replays for Aqueduct can be found here:
Race 1: 2nd (by a dirty nose!)@ 4.40/1
Race 5: 8th@ 1.00/1
Race 9: 4th@ 6.70/1
In Race 1, Raul Mena gave Romantic Man a perfect trip off the speed and looked like he was home but was nipped on the rail by Blame it on Brutus in a heartbreaker to start the day. Onward. In Race 5, Celene the Queen got the lead on debut as the heavy favorite but when push came to shove she had no answer fading to 8th. In Race 9, Hey it’s Tati stalked from far back but never mustered much of a rally.
Saturday’s Race Recap from Gulfstream Park:
(All odds US)
Race replays for Gulfstream Park are below:
Race 6: 6th@ 2.10/1
Race 10: 2nd@ 1.90/1
Race 11: 8th@ 7.90/1
In Race 6, Miss Mikaela started things off for us and she did get the lead but was swarmed on the turn and faded to 6th. In the day’s feature race - The Mr. Prospector, our selection - Endorsed got going a touch too late and checked in second. In the final race of the day we had rank outsider T Ville getting back to the turf but he never got on track checking in 8th.
Losing the close photo in Race 1 at Aqueduct set the tone for the day and it was one of two second place finishes on an otherwise forgettable Saturday for us.
We look to get back on track with a few more races from Aqueduct and Gulfstream for Sunday. We’re expecting overnight rain in New York so Aqueduct’s likely to be muddy but Gulfstream should be fast and firm. Let’s pick Santa’s pocket for some Christmas 🎅🏼 🎄 money and slam the door on another week of racing!
Sunday picks for Aqueduct:
Race 5: Ethel’s Doctorate - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 20/1)
BOMBS AWAYYYY to begin the day with Ethel’s Doctorate in Race 1. First and foremost, this is a weak field and many times, these are opportunities to beat poor favorites. Ethel’s Doctorate has one race on the main track - her debut back on May 31, where she ran 8th and lost by 18 1/2 lengths. Doesn’t exactly get the pulse racing but it was her first start and her closing 1/8th of a mile was a snappy 12.43 - a figure that nobody in this field has ever been close to running on dirt. Since then she’s only raced on turf. Looking forward to her getting another chance on dirt and she’ll be more like 60/1 than 20/1 in this race if you’re willing to take the plunge with me.
Race 7: Paddy’s Princess - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 20/1)
Our second bomb of the day - Paddy’s Princess ships in from New Jersey where she’s had her last two starts on turf. She’s confidently put in today’s Starter Allowance race and getting blinkers after a bullet workout. In her last start on dirt she won by 28 3/4 lengths over two overmatched rivals. The speed figure she was given that day was low and both of her rivals came back to improve their speed figures significantly so it’s possible Paddy does the same and speed pops this field at long odds.
Race 9: Majestic Tiger - 2 pts win
- BEST BET (US Morning Line Odds: 7/2)
Maiden claimers spin 6 furlongs here and there are no Secretariats in this field but there should be some pace on with Grey Quest and Tough Workout both expected to run and gun. Both of those tend to get tired late and Majestic Tiger is coming off a solid third place versus better company in his dirt debut after running his first 5 career starts on grass. He’s MUCH better bred for the main track and looks to get the run of the race for strong connections. 7/2 looks like good value here.
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Sunday picks for Gulfstream Park:
Race 6: Peter D - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 6/5)
This is our very first foray into polytrack and I’m not exactly going out on a limb. Peter D. looks so logical here that if you can get 6/5 on him, take it. A winner of three of his first four career starts, Peter D already has two polytrack wins. That’s only one fewer than the rest of the field combined. Speed figures seem to tower over the rest of these and also stands to get the pace setup. Rare value at 6/5 odds.
Race 8: Aeronaut - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 8/1)
Polytrack sprinters go 5 furlongs and Aeronaut will get overlooked here off a subpar score first time on polytrack. That was at a mile, though, and this one has done his best work sprinting, as he is today. Outside post is no bargain but trainer’s overall record this year is 33% wins and he wins with 40% of his claiming runners. If those numbers don’t impress you, this trainer is also winning at a 45% rate with jockey Castillo aboard
Race 9: Hombre - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 12/1)
Also-eligible runner will need some luck in order to make it into the body of the race but stands to be a handful if he gets in. Following an emphatic maiden win, this one ran into some tough cookies - Sifting Sands and Mira Mission. Either one of those would be 1/1 in here. Hombre was given time off and finished a strong fifth against another repeat winner. Jockey upgrade to Luis Saez only adds to the confidence here. Working well enough and should sit the trip just off the speed.
Good luck to everyone playing Sunday’s races from Aqueduct!