Maiden America Wednesday: The Hooptie Handicapper picks two 2yo races at Keeneland
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Maiden America Wednesday: The Hooptie Handicapper picks two 2yo races at Keeneland

First post is 1:32 pm EDT.

Maiden America 10.27.2021

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Two maiden races at Keeneland

Keeneland Race 2 - $84K Maiden Special

2yos going six furlongs

1-Circle Back Jack (3/1) switching from turf to dirt, trainer Sarah Hamilton is 0% in this situation and given the Equibase par of 85, none of his three starts have usurped that number and today will be no different. 2-Tiz Of Thee (6/1) son of American Pharoah whose first time starting colt two year olds are 15% winners here. Group 1 breeze figs tester. His works have been excellent thus far including a :59 breeze on September 24th. Trainer Tom Amoss a strong 21% with first timers. 6-Mamooj (12/1) given his increasing improvement on workouts, expect a good start from this son this Daaher/Malibu Moon combo. Daaher 2yo first timers 0%. Use Underneath. 7-Testa (5/1) trainer Mike Maker 14% with first timers. Connect prodigy 0% with first timers. Connect 2yo’s 26% wins with 2yo colts and has shown solid works in the morning. Win contender. Possible winner. 8-All In Sync (6/1) breeze fig Group 2 hoses 13% according to our database vs 9% with Group 1 types. Sire Macleans Music 2yo msw first timers very good 38% wins. Win Contender. 12-Boat Song (61) American Freedom 2yo starters 17% with 2yo first timers and his three last works have been terrific and trainer Maclean Robertson 16% with first timers. Win Contender.

13-Presure (8/1) AE. Asmussen 2yo first time starters 13% and sire Into Mischief prodigy 18% with first time starters and with 726 colts in this category, it is quite a feat. Win contender is eligible. 15-Ruggs (5/1) AE. Freshman sire Gun Runner 18% with 2yo’s in this category. Very good works. Win Contender.

My selection is 8-All In Sync. The track is playing to inside horses.

Breeze figures.
Breeze figures.RT

Race 8 Keeneland - $150K Maiden Claiming

2yo fillies going 6.5 furlongs

Equibase par for this race is 72. This rules out 1-Howboutdemapples (6/1) 10-Abstract Moment (10/1) 6-Malibu Marie (7/2) as they all have had multiple tries to his that number and have fallen short. 1a-Vow (6-1) if he goes today, Union Rags female progeny a solid 29% with first timers under these conditions. Her works have been so/so this far, however, with Malibu Moon as her broodmare sire, works have proven to be not that much of a key indicator. Contender. 3-Margeaux Romance (15-1) Bernardini fillies 16% in this type of race yet jumping from a 45 to 72 is too much of a stretch. Use underneath. 7-Triple P (4/1) only three progenies as samples for Classic Empire fillies and that is 33%. She put in a great effort in last as a $50K mcl, passing horses and fighting for place money. 1st time starters going from mcl to mcl are an abysmal 9%. 8-Makemebelieve (15/1) trainer Mclean Robertson 15% with first timers and 2yo daughters of Mucho Macho Man an excellent 21% in 1st time maiden claimers. Her 1:01.8 work on October 24th concerning. Potential win play and certainly include in exotics. 9-Chilly (15/1) First Samurai fillies 14% in this scenario. Pedestrian works. Use in exotics.

I am going with Vow if she makes the entry. As an alternate Triple P, if neither go, 11-Miracle Mischief (5/1) Into Mischief filles are 18% and they are also better dirt runners than turf, so it is unknown why the connections have chosen turf in her first. Leparoux striking at a low win percent and this post is not the best.

Breeze figures.
Breeze figures.RT

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