Delaware Park Wednesday: God's Tipster starts the week out with four picks, in races 1, 3, 7 and 8.
Good morning Betting Gods Team. We’re back after an amazing weekend of racing. We look to pick back up where we left off heading to Delaware Park for some Wednesday racing. We expect partly cloudy skies and mild temperatures with a fast main track and a firm turf course. Let’s get to the action!
Wednesday picks for Delaware Park:
Race 1: The Robert - 1 pt win (Us Morning Line Odds: 6/1)
We begin our week with a grizzled group of lower-level claimers and we’re making a recency play here as The Robert’s most recent start was faster from a speed figure standpoint than anything any other runner in the field has put up in 2021. I find it interesting that trainer Mario Dominguez ships him in from Parx after an impressive score like this but Dominguez has a 21% win percentage this year and is 1 for 2 at this meet and 23% with last-our-winners. He’s raced well enough over the course and he lures a 20% rider and his big race last time out (a new career high) happened at this same distance. The Robert is worth a play at 6/1 odds.
Race 3: Palace King - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 10/1)
This is one of two Darien Rodriguez/ Isaac Castillo first time starters we're picking on today’s card. This rider is only riding two at Delaware Park today and these are the two. Trainer Rodriguez wins with a wicked 27% of his first time starters and 36% of his runners making their debut in a maiden claiming race. He also does quite well with two-year-olds (29%) and wins 20% of his overall turf races. While this one’s turf Tomlinson is nothing to write home about, his sire did win on turf and with the great City Zip in the bloodlines, turf shouldn’t be an issue. The dam also had a third place finish on turf. Worth a long look at 10/1 odds in a field that appears short on talent.
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Race 7: Big Tall Dawg - 1 pt win (US Morning Line Odds: 10/1)
Two weeks ago at Delaware we caught a runner who had strong prior turf form who went off at an overlaid price and today we’ve got a similar situation. Big Tall Dawg comes off three straight hard fought second place finishes here at Delaware. If we look back at his turf races over the last two years he has two speed figures in four turf starts that are at least eleven points higher than his next closest rival has put up in their collective careers. Low profile connections keep the price high and while this one’s trainer has struggled a bit with her turf runners, her overall win percentage of 18% works for us. Lone win for this one came at a mile on turf which is 1/2 furlong longer than he’s running today so no issues there. 10/1 looks like excellent value here.
Race 8: Ucaptured Hero - 1 pt win (Us Morning Line Odds: 7/2)
Maiden-optional claimers sprint 6 furlongs here and the ones who have raced before have put up performances that don't exactly get the pulse racing. Ucaptured Hero is a bit interesting in that she ships in from Monmouth Park where she’s been working since late last year. She was given time off between February and August - they presumably wanted to give her time to develop or had a minor setback. She races for trainer Darien Rodriguez who’s winning at a remarkable 26% on the year and is 1 for 3 at the meet. Rodriguez wins with 36% of his maiden claimer first time starters but because this race is consider an “optional” maiden claiming race, that statistic doesn’t appear in the racing form here. This one’s got a half brother who showed excellent early speed first time out on turf - losing on debut by only 1/2 length for these same connections. I also found it interesting that jockey Isaac Castillo is here today to ride only two horses: both for Rodriguez – the other being a maiden claimer in race 3. He’s a 24% winning rider at this meet and this one could be live first time out.
Best of luck to everyone playing Wednesday’s races from Delaware Park.