Wednesday at Saratoga: Mike Dennis picks the Early Pick 5
Saratoga August 11, 2021
Early Pick 5 Horses to Check Out
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Race 1 - Munny Bolt (7-2)
A very open 2 year old MSW$100k going 5 1/2 Furlongs on the Mellon turf. Leaning with the most positive workout note. In multi race wagers look up workout out partners to see if any have won. Also, checking simple sire / dam stats can lead to more return on your investment.
You can easily spread or put your foot down and take a shot, I can see a bettor doing both.
Race 2 - Addylin (7-2)
My pick is an imaginative stretch but I like my pilot Luis Saez. A personal preference at 7 furlongs is using a horse that has won at the distance prior. Multiple horses have posted wins going the distance but Addilyn sticks out to me. I am mainly hoping she can run like 2 back on the lead, not the last time Saez was up.
Race 3 - Three Jokers (7-2)
Three Jokers is the pick for race 3. Jose will have some trip figuring out what to do with a short field of five in The Evan Shipman Handicap, a state bred stakes going 1 and 1/8th miles on the dirt. Even with five entered the amount of early gas in the race will make it fun to see what the jockeys do. The speed number increase from 3yo season to four year old races is what caught my eye looking at Three Jokers.
Race 4 - Tass (8-1)
With value and coming back off a break why not take a shot with a price? I think Tass go all out from the get go and Cancel may try to steal one. The mare may be overmatched with speed of others drawn in but the logicals are too logical to me in this race and will be short on the coin line.
Race 5 - Tivoli Twirl (8-5)
Just go around the circle Mr. Rosario and try not to use the 3yo colt all up. A stretch out to 1 and 1/16th will be new for Tivoli Twirl, breeding shows promise, with flashes of speed which lacks in this MSW, event where all but one have ran before.
Thank you for reading and until next time this is Mike from Colorado. Stay happy, stay stoned.