Maiden America Saturday: Hoop Tea's Hooptie Handicapper picks races at Pimlico, Woodbine and Ellis Park
The trip to Arlington was fun. yet not profitable. I hit three out of eight. Three of the other races, for the life of me, would have never been bet by me. I have no idea, on paper, how those horses won. Neither would have several of the people around me who were either track regulars or employees. Not that it helped my wallet, however, it did easy my mind. Frankly, I have played Arlington's card before and some races can be complete anomalies.
A few other notes about my trip to Arlington. First and foremost, do not drive through Wisconsin. I have no idea why they are so infatuated with driving either the exact speed limit or slower in the left lane. Next, If you have never been there, Arlington Park is in a very safe neighborhood. You have no fear of trouble. Arlington is magnificently and obsessively clean. Everywhere you go, it is either manicured, polished, shiny or bright. The bathrooms are immaculate. The people are outstanding, friendly and willing to help. When it comes to personal customer service, it is excellent. (a 100% departure from Stronach tracks) The bad news? You can only buy tickets online and their website is daunting to navigate. Unless you have a group of four or more people, getting a single seat is exceptionally difficult. By a mere stroke of luck, I got a seat at the terrace bar. Actually, this is the best seat in the house. A few of the people walked up to the terrace bar and asked if they could sit there. They had bought box seats and didn't want to sit in the box seats; they wanted to sit at the terrace bar. The Terrace bar is just past the finish line and it is covered by a tiki like rooftop. There is a nice, cool breeze that blows through. Feel fortunate if you happen to get a bartender named Stacy. She is outstanding 😊. Book more than a few days in advance. I booked last minute and ended up staying at a $47 Red Roof Inn a couple of miles away which was made of grade z plywood. In the room next door, the couple loudly made love all night. By 4 am, I thought about walking over, knocking on their door and asking the guy how in the world he can have that much stamina and and go for that long? I digress.
All in all, I had a fantastic time.
Today we have three, two year old races. One from Pimlico, One from Ellis Park and one from Woodbine.
Pimlico Race 3 - $39K Maiden Special Weight
2yo’s going five furlongs
There is nothing here that jumps right off the page. #5 Slaats (9/5) worked a 1:01 from the gate and his momma, Tregrandibambin has had three foal and one his at first asking are his most noteworthy events. #4 Heavenly Trip (2/1) is getting these low odds based on two factors. 1) trainer Brittany Russell is 25% with first time starters and 2) of the seven published works, he has one that is notable – a :48.2 from the gate.
For this race, I'm going to take two lessons learn from professionals that I know. The first is from my friend Joe, the West Point math genius who pounds it in my head that ‘the data doesn't lie and it's also unemotional.’ The second is from Frank Mitchell of DataTrack International (biodatatrack.com) and below are their breeze figs for #2 Up For The Chance (6/1)
Up For the Chances’ sire was horse of the year in Brazil and a black type winner of 15 races for $1.25, so he has pedigree in the tank. His one race under his belt was a nuclear stink bomb as he was sent off at odds of 5/1 over at Delaware Park on June 21.
Woodbine Race 5 - $126K Maiden Special Weight
2yo fillies going five furlongs
This is a full field of 12 fillies, and I will cut to the chase and take one of the Kentucky breds, a Cairo Prince filly, #9 Guileful (8/1) who's had more than a few sharp workouts from the gate.
Ellis Park Race 6 - $51K Maiden Special Weight
2yo fillies going one mile on turf
#5 Miss Chamita (4/1) is the choice. She has two races under her belt with scores better than the rest and one was on turf. The other experienced horse in this who does have turf experience, except was a very marginal effort. #6 Bali Kuta (12/1) may be worth looking at for a price.