Thursday at Gulfstream Park: God's Tipster picks the 1st and 6th races, likes Watermelon Sugar
First post is 1:10 pm EDT.
Wednesday’s Recap from Gulfstream Park:
Race 3: 4th@ 0.60-1
Race 4: 7th@ 17.00-1
Race 10: 6th@ 3.50-1
We started the week off in Race 3 with our day’s Best Bet hitting the gate at the start and was never really in contention thereafter. In Race 4 our layoff runner looked like he needed a start as he never got out of first gear. In Race 10, I was lured in by a horse that lured in a lot of folks - going off the favorite. Hindsight being what it is, Todd Pletcher doesn’t put his best horses at Tampa Bay and that’s where this one was shipping in from. He never threatened while making his turf debut.
Let’s turn the page as we try to get out of first gear ourselves and take a look at Thursday’s races from Gulfstream Park where we expect fast and firm conditions:
Race 1: Watermelon Sugar - 1 pt win (ML Odds: 9/2)
We kick things off with maiden claiming fillies on the turf and while Watermelon Sugar didn’t get anyone “high” in her debut last July finishing 9th of 10 runners, trainer Armando De La Cerda and owner Stephen Screnci have teamed up already in similar races over the last few months to run well. Top rider Irad Ortiz takes this mount just as he did aboard Kate’s Kingdom on 2/24 who won first time turf for this same trainer, jockey and owner combination and Karenville, on 3/3 who finished a neck behind the winner going first time turf. Trainer / jockey combo wins at 33% together which tells us this one is LIVE. This runner is a half to three turf winners and should offer value based on her muddied up debut running line.
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Race 6: Timewon’etmego - 2 pts win - BEST BET (ML Odds 9-2)
While most handicappers here seem to be fixated on The Ice Beast, we’re not sold on that one’s ability to stay a full 5 1/2 furlong race. That’s a full furlong further than he’s ever won before! Why would we take favored odds on that? Our selection has won at 6 furlongs and 6 1/2 furlongs already and those two wins makes this runner the top winner in the field. Muddied up recent form includes an ill-advised turf try (not bred for it) and appears to have faced far better last time out.
Best of luck 🍀🍀🍀 to all our members playing Thursday’s races from Gulfstream Park.