RT's Maiden America Horse Racing: 7th at Gulfstream, a 6-furlong sprint for 3-year-olds, with 8 first-timers
Maiden America 2.06.21
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Breeze Fig’s courtesy of Data Track International http://www.biodatatrack.com/
BreezeFigs are calculated separately for colts and fillies, and for each breeze distance (one eighth, a quarter mile, three-eighths, sometimes half a mile) and surface (dirt, synthetic, turf) for each sex.
There are four Groups:
G1: Horses qualifying on all Speed, Stride Length and other proprietary numbers;
G2: Horses qualifying on all but one of the above factors;
G3: Horses that qualify on one of the above factors;
G4: Horses that are non-qualifiers on any of the above factors
Not The Withers, not The Sam Davis; perhaps the most intriguing race of the day is the seventh at Gulfstream. This is a $50K Maiden Special Weight six-furlong spring on dirt for three year olds. Twelve are entered in this field with four having raced and eight debuting. Amongst those getting their first go today are:
#1 No More - $390K KEESEP19 colt out of Uncle Moe (Indian Charlie) and Cruelmore (Forestry). Whereas Cruelmore did not have a successful racing career, she has been a useful dam with three foals. Her foals have had forty starts, nine wins and twenty-six in the money finishes. A sold 23% win rate and 65% itm rate. Trained by Ian Wilkes and ridden by Corey Lanerie, his noted works are a particularly good 1:00.8 from the gate on 1/14 and :48.3 on 1/25, at Palm Beach Downs training center.
#5 Democracy – WinStar Farm owned $400K KEESEP19 colt out of Quality Road (Elusive Quality) and Loveofalifetime (Medaglia d’Oro). Loveofalifetime is another useful dam this far who had no success on the track. Her two foals have won at a 31% clip, including Into Mystic, a recent Fair Grounds stakes winner and multiple graded stakes placed efforts. Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr., you can see by the Group 1 testing that he is an exceptionally long strider and knocked down a fantastic result. Of his published workouts, all at Palm Beach Downs training center two stand out - :48.6 on 12/28 and 1:00.4 on 1/3.
#8 Black Belt - $125K FTKNOV18 colt out of Not This Time (Giant’s Causeway) and Pica Slew (out of Pico Central, winner of Met Mile, Vosburgh et al). Pica Slew was graded stakes placed and won the G3 Azalea at Calder. The sire, Not This Time, won The G3 Iroquois and just missed by a neck in the BC Juvenile. Being an absolute neophyte to how the auction business goes in the thoroughbred industry, I posed this question to a friend regarding Black Belt and have not heard back. How common is it putting out $125K when the colt is only ten months old and still owning it as a racehorse? Flipping yearlings can be big cake, yet this seems unusual.
If anyone reading this knows, please email me - rtsspotplays@gmail.com
Trained by Jeff Engler and ridden by Luca Pinici, he has had some fabbo works, inkling the most recent 1:01 from the gate, a couple at :47 and change and the rest in the :48 range. This one will be a bet. How much or what type remains to be seen.
#11 Dupuis - $700K OBSOPN20 colt out of Distorted Humor (Forty Niner) and Tizacity (Tizway) his mom never did much, but her dad, Tizway was an ATM on four legs, winning $1.4M in 20 tries, including the Whitney, Met Mile and Kelso. His dad, Distorted Humor, won multiple graded stakes including the G3 Ack Ack. Trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by Luis Saez, he scored extremely high in Group 1, including a long stride which will be useful routing. His works have bee, meh, with the highlight being a 1:01.7 and a :48.9. Caveat Emptor for today.
#10 Collaborate - $600K OBSOPN20 Three Chimneys owned and Saffie Joseph trained colt, he is out of Into Mischief (seemingly the sire du an, who is out of Harlan’s Holiday) and Quiet Temper (Quiet American). This is Quiet Tempers’ fourth foal with the first three amassing 33 starts and 9 wins for 27%. Now, that sounds much more impressive than it is, considering the best win was an $18K AOC at Mountaineer. Into Mischief has every mans dream job – wander all day, eat, play and get paid to spawn. He has 647 foals with 4257 starts and 734 wins. 17%. Ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, this guy is knocking it down at the training center with gate works of 47.9 and 1:00.1 as well as being breezed at :47.5, :47.7 and a very sharp 5f in :59.3.
#7 Campeador – Yes, this is not your blockbuster acquisition with big names associated to this colt, however, his mamma, Itsagiantcauseway has had one other foal and his name is Mucho Gusto. Campeador’s dad Jack Milton, was a multiple graded stakes winner. This colt’s 71/77 Group 1 score with a 24.19 stride length, along with bullet works of :48, :36 and a recent 1:02 from the gate, makes him a player. His trainer, Roderick Rodríguez, is 1/3 with first staters.
#4 Jeebar – In his bow, over this track, he garnered a respectable 65 Beyer. In that race, this OBSAPR20 $65K colt got off a step slow and hustled to the lead, held it into the turn and to the 1/8 pole before ceding to eventual winner Candy Man Rocket, who is entered into today’s Sam Davis Stakes at Tampa. Jeebar negotiated the turn excellently and ran a smidge green in that race. Smartly, his trainer, Juan Avila, had him conduct a gate work since to work out the kinks of the faux pas in his last race. His Group 1 testing of 71/77 and 24.19 stride length fits perfectly for this distance and class, and he will wire this field today. Emisael Jaramillo retains the mount today.
#6 Buck Moon – clipping a 64 Beyer in his debut at Hawthorne, at 3.8/1 odds, this $260K OBSOPN20 colt out of Malibu Moon, went four wide on the turn and ran evenly to collect a place check in a $22K MSW race on 12/05. He’ll get second Lasix today and recently worked a 6f breeze. Horses who work at the distance of their upcoming race have a better than average chance of seeing the winners circle. Victor LeBron up and with 42% trainer Larry Rivelli, they’re a 27% winning prop.
Betting this race will be interesting. Personally, I believe Jeebar will win and Buck Moon will play a factor. 6-4/all and 6-4/6/4/all for the tri.
