Sunday at the cold track: Garrity picks 4 races at Aqueduct, including the $100,000 Rego Park Stakes
Perfect Munnings, shown here running at Aqueduct onNovember 29, 2020, is Garrity's pick in today's $100,000 Rego Park Stakes at AqueductNYRA

Sunday at the cold track: Garrity picks 4 races at Aqueduct, including the $100,000 Rego Park Stakes

First picked race, the 1st at Aqueduct, has a post time of 12:20 pm EST

We’re in the heart of winter here in the Northeast U.S., but within the context of that, it’s a nice day, sunny, not too much wind, and highs in the 40s, so we’re going to embrace the season, rather than fight it, by taking on the card at Aqueduct. We have four plays sprinkled throughout the nine-race card. The main track at Aqueduct will be fast, and we expect the surface to be fair and bias-free, as it was yesterday. Let’s go.

Aqueduct, Race 1, 12:20 pm ET

Maiden Special Weight, 6 furlongs, Dirt, 3-Year-Old Fillies

This interesting maiden race drew a field of six. We like 3-O’Gotten Girl, who is winless in four career starts, but who has yet to run fast dirt. Three of her starts were on turf, and the on dirt race, at Saratoga in August, was in the slop. The speed figure she earned in her last, a maiden turf race at Aqueduct on December 5, shows that she has ability, and we think that she is going to show here that she is better on dirt. We will bet her to win at 9/5. The bet: Aqueduct, Race 1, $30 to win on 3-O’Gotten Girl.

Aqueduct, Race 5, 2:20 pm ET

Maiden Special Weight, 1 mile, Dirt, New York-bred 3-Year-Old Fillies

Eight state-bred maiden fillies go here. We like 6-Teetotaler, who starts for trainer Chad Brown. She was an expensive yearling purchase, selling for $500,000, and while she is winless in two career starts, she did run pretty well, finishing second, a neck behind the winner, in a similar spot at the Big A on December 20. While a repeat may be good enough to win this race, we think she will improve in the third start of her career, and we like that jockey Manny Franco, who rode her last time, saw enough that he liked to ride her back today. We will bet her to win at 4-1. The bet: Aqueduct, Race 5, $30 to win on 6-Teetotaller.

Aqueduct, Race 7, 3:20 pm ET

Maiden Special Weight, 1 mile, Dirt, New York-bred 3-Year-Olds

This is another mile maiden race for state-bred sophomore fillies, and like the 5th, it drew a field of eight. We’re all over 2-Flower’s Fortune, who comes into this race after running in a state-bred stakes race at Aqueduct on December 6. She was trounced that day, finishing ninth of eleven, but we are willing to look past that, as she did some running -- she contested the pace for a half mile before calling it quits -- and the fillies she faced that day were worlds better than the field here. Look for her to take this race with a trip on or near the early lead. We will bet her to win at 4-1. The bet: Aqueduct, Race 7, $40 to win on 2-Flower’s Fortune.

Aqueduct, Race 8, 3:50 pm ET

$100,000 Rego Park Stakes, 6 ½ furlongs, Dirt, New York-bred 3-Year-Olds

The Rego Park drew a field of eight, including a couple of impressive maiden winners. We’re going with one of them, 8-Perfect Munnings, who broke his maiden at Aqueduct on November 29, and while the figures he earned that day make him competitive with the other top contenders, the reason he is the pick is that he switches to the main track today, and with his pedigree (by Munnings, out of a Medaglia d’Oro mare), we think he will be even better on conventional dirt than he was on grass. We will bet him to win at 4-1. The bet: Aqueduct, Race 8, $40 to win on 8-Perfect Munnings.

That’s all for today. Until the next time, enjoy the racing, be safe, and, as always, good luck at the windows.

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