Racing at Presque Isle Downs
Racing at Presque Isle Downspresqueisledowns.com

RT picks three Tuesday races at Presque Isle and is betting against some favorites

Post time at Presque Isle is at 4:45 pm EDT.

RT Report 10.20.2020

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Presque Isle Race 1 - $20K Claimers 3yo+ going 6f

#5 Hot Apriority (15/1) and #8 Samurai Legacy (8/1) will grab the early lead. #3 The Connector (already bet down to 3/5) is a closing type who is ridden by leading jockey Pablo Morales just smoked a group of $12.5K claimers eight days ago by laying up and closing into the pace. It will not happen again today. Samurai Legacy just wired a group at this level two back, was moved up to allowance company in his last, set the pace and tired. The trainer of Pablo’s horse has a 9%-win rate after last race won and I think he’ll run third with #9 Arba (8/1) coming second.

Presque Isle Race 2 - $5K Claiming 3yo+ N2Y going 1 mile, 70 yards

#1 Executive Bonus (5/2) with Pablo Morales up is going to take the money in this and I believe he doesn’t have the goods for this reason – Fair Grounds shippers have been a sour play when they venture out of Louisiana. He also hasn’t raced since March and the trainer is 0% in this situation. I like #6 Bay Bridge (12/1) to return to the winner circle today.

Presque Isle Race 6 - $12.5K fillies and mares 3yo+ N2L going 6f

#7 Bluebird Day (3/1) is going to be a false favorite in this race. After all, if the breeding rights to this filly were $115K and it is out of Bodemeister and Quality Road, why would you move it down to a $12.5K claimer – especially after you almost won a $20K claiming race? This is the time to bet Pablo, on #5 Lizz A Bee (4/1) and run like a thief. She is a 4yo filly that is carrying the same weight as the 3yo, has faced stiffer competition and has been working forwardly. 1a Twila Mae (9/2) is going to make some noise in this after just breaking her maiden.

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