SmartCap and RT go to Saratoga Thursday to analyze 6 races and a list of horses to track
Today we're looking at Saratoga Races 3, 5-9 w/Notes
Race 3 – turf, 1 mile , $25K Claimers, statie fillies and mares 3yo+ NWx
#2 – 2nd after claim for RudyRod, $16K/try at Sar turf, 5F work in 1:10 6 days ago. Can’t seem to get 1st at finish line at this level, finishing 2,3,2,2 of last 5. Best last. 2nd best overall speed and class
•√• #6 - drop in class from MW2$x. 2nd after layoff and shipping. $16K/race @Sar turf. Trainer 25% L30. Big effort and closing kick. Due. Best overall speed and class
#5 – Linda 19% off claim, 16% off 2-6mos. Won last. •:48.2 on 7.27.
Race 5 – dirt, 6.5F, $20K claimers, 3yo fillies NW2x
#3 – 4th barn in as many tries. Linda claim. Solid running lines.
•√• #6 – 1st off claim for Gargan (50%). Best last. Best overall speed and class. 2:1-0-0 at Sar. $11K/race this yr. $11K/race lifetime (both best of this group). Best last two cumulatively. :48.4 work 8.12
#7 – raced 6 days ago. Won. 1st off claim for Klesaris (20%)
#1 – 2nd best last race. Trainer 16% off claim. 3 works since last.
Race 6 – turf, 5.5F, $40K claimers, 3yo+ NW2
•√• #1 – ran well in allowance after breaking maiden. Second overall speed and class. Jr. will probably go back to rating rather than speed.
#2 – 2nd best last. Change to Irad and brother not in race, so look for honest effort.
#5 – best overall class and speed. •:48.6 on 8.14. speed horse suspect turf recrd of 15:1-3-4. Exotic action
#8 – closer in field of speed. Bad race in last (off track). Big turn back in distance. Could be there.
Race 7 -dirt, 6F. The $85K Tale Of The Cat Stakes for 4yo+ NWs
#4 – on the negative side of bounce pattern today. Pass
•√• #1 – Saez 2nd look. Horse is rounding into shape/acclimating to turf.
#2 – best overall class, speed and last. Winner of last dumped in next out (G1). 5 good works since last. 3:0-3-0 at distance
Race 8 – turf, 5.5F, $40K optional claimers, state bred fillies and mares NWx or NW3
•√• #7 – 1st out vs state breds Best overall class speed and co-best last. Jock 11% on turf. Solid 90’s for Equibase figs. 6:2-2-1 on turf and 5-2-2-0 for distance. One to beat
#2 – co-best last. Second best overall speed and class. 2:1-1-0 on Sar turf and big cutback in distance. Speed type will relish that. In for a tag. Pass.
#5 – co-best last. Speed. j/t 23% tandem. Burnt $$ in last. 1:0-1-0 at distance. Propensity to fade
#3 – co-best last and may fool a few people. Keep in exotics
Race 9 – dirt, 6F, $25K Claimers, 3yo+ staties NWy
#1 – 1st off claim for Saffie (33%). 2-1-0-0 at Sar for $34K. Best $$/yr $81K. speed type, but with new jock, could change style. 9:4-2-0 at distance. Co-best last and 3rd overall class and speed.
#2 – re-claim for J. Engelhart. (17% off clm). Won going away on last. Solid closer, in shape and will get pace setup. Davis familiar with this gelding. Bounce off big number as in past?
#5 – moved from Juicer Servis to Atras. Damn near $1M winner. Works, just ok. Tread lightly until and see how this race goes. Best last? Best class and speed. Suspect. Does Irad mess with this race in favor of brother on #1?
•√• #7 – Pletcher/Santana 67% of late. Speed. 4:1-2-0 for $67k at Sar. 2nd best speed and class. 2nd off layoff. Closer.
#6 – speed. Stepping down to optional. May take this w2w.
#5 – just won last out and today is 12/1? Value play.
Tracking Today
My Virtual Stable
GP 3 – Felon
LrL 4 – Almithmaar
TDN 4 – Penny Shots
Sar 5 – Leaveuwithasmile
GP 9 – Mountain Breeze
Sar 9 – Dark Money
Arl 6 – Creal Dreamer
2nd Lasix Led At Stretch In Last Out
BTP 2 – Ola Que Tal
Ind 8 – Golden Command
LrL 7 – Tophat N Whitetie
Interesting 1st Time Starters In A MCL Race
Del 8 – Scotty Silver
GG 7 – Strait Up Indian
EmD 5 – Mister Fire
Pid 1 – Wrongful Intention
Trainer 20%+ 1st off claim
EmD 4 – Gazing
Evd 4 – Last Appeal
LrL 4 – Cerulean Springs
Sar 9 – Dark Money
Longshots From Key Races
Ind 8 – Golden Command
If you are interested in getting more daily evaluations, please email SmartCap@bettorsinsider.com.