Tuesday at the track: Garrity goes to Parx and picks three state-bred races
Things are a bit quiet in the simulcasting world today. We have three plays, all at Parx Racing, and all for state-breds. We expect fast dirt and firm turf in all three. Let’s go.
Parx Racing, Race 6, 3:10 pm EDT
Allowance, 7 ½ furlongs, Turf, Pennsylvania-breds 3 & Up
This allowance drew a deep field of eight. Quite a few of them have speed, so we’re expecting a hot pace, and a closer to pick up the pieces. That makes the pick the stretch-running 6-Haz a Notion, who jumps in class of a win in a claiming race that we think was quite good. She’s an admirably consistent 5-year-old mare who runs about the same race every time, and we think that her typical effort will take this. We will bet her to win at 9/2. The bet: Parx Raxing, Race 6, $40 to win on 6-Haz a Notion.
Parx Racing, Race 7, 3:37 pm EDT
Maiden Special Weight, 1 mile 70 yards, Dirt, Pennsylvania-bred Fillies & Mares 3 & Up
This maiden race drew a field of seven. There’s one we like quite a bit: 5-Jumpintoaction. She is winless in five career starts, which is not good, but she looks like a late-bloomer to us, as she has improved in each of her starts, and has especially improved as the distances she has run have grown longer. We particularly like her last race, when she chased a slow pace to finish a close fourth, only two lengths behind the winner. We think she will get a good stalking trip today, and get her picture taken with a strong move at the top of the stretch. We will bet her to win at 2-1. The bet: Parx Racing, Race 7, $30 to win on 5-Jumpintoaction.
Parx Racing, Race 11, 5:25 pm EDT
Allowance, 6 ½ furlongs, Dirt, Pennsylvania-bred Fillies & Mares 3 & Up
Eight go in this state-bred allowance. This race has pace meltdown written all over it, as a couple of these horses know only one way, which is to go as fast as they can for as long as they can. We think they’ll go fast for about five furlongs, which is no good when the finish line is 6 ½ furlongs from the starting gate. We’re looking for a closer to take advantage of the pacesetters running out of gas down the stretch.
We think the one who will mow them all down late is 7-Disco Deja Vu. She’s a 3-year-old coming off a good allowance win at Monmouth Park, when she rallied off the pace to win by a neck. That’s a good effort, especially as Monmouth is a pretty speed-favoring track. We see a similar result today, and at pretty good 8-1 odds. We will bet her to win. The bet: Parx Racing, Race 11, $35 to win on 7-Disco Deja Vu.
That’s all for today. Until tomorrow, enjoy the racing, be safe, and, as always, good luck at the windows.